I've felt like for days that the models were poorly handling the precip shield. If it's anything like every other system that's passed through during the last year, it'll overachieve on qpf and cover a lot of ground. Time will tell.
We had multiple road closures around Burke during the last storm and I expect nothing different this time. I hate to be the person that seems like they're wishing for a drought, but we could really use an extended dry period or heck, maybe a rain storm that doesn't drop 3+ inches every time.
Reminds me of early June this past year. Ugly isn't the word for it. It's been a torrential downpour in my area since 2-3 a.m. There hasn't been a single moment where I'd say the rain has been "light" since that point.
I want to apologize for the last two winters. I think I jinxed our chances last December during the big one. I joked with people after the storm that we had received enough snow for two years. Welp - super ironic now.
Someone help me out here: can anyone remember the last time western North Carolina had a rain that didn’t amount to 3+ inches? I’m exaggerating of course, but geez the forecast after mid-week. Forget snow, I just want us to get a week of no rain.
Glad you enjoyed it! Honestly the whole western half of the state has a lot to offer. If you ever get the opportunity, pick a nice day and ride the Blue Ridge parkway from the southern most starting point to Watauga County. You won’t regret it.
I think the most depressing part of this winter has less to do with the lack of physical storms themselves and more to do with the lack of being able to geek out, track storms, losing sleep for model runs, and watching these threads blow up. Such a deflating season, because most of this board disappears until November. I just hate that the odds of tracking something fun are so low at this point.
I’ll get roasted for saying this - and that’s fine, but I wish we’d get at least a minor drought. WNC is becoming Seattle south. We can’t string together more than 2 dry days a week and when it rains, it rains 2+ inches every time. My yard is muck.
Honestly, if we have zero chances of scoring a good storm through mid Feb, I’m ready for it to be 70 each day. Top off the Jeep, golf, fishing, grilling. Low 50s and the deluge of rain is getting so old.
2/1 still has potential per 12z GFS. The track is way too far inland, but there is a high in the Maine area and a robust storm cutting across the SE. On the bright side, the storm doesn't cut west of the Apps, which is a change of pace already.
To be honest it seems like an average/seasonal temp pattern with storm opportunities. That produces way more often than when an Arctic outbreak occurs. I’m right there with you.
It’s wild how imby it seems like it’s rained every week (twice a week most times), for the past year with multiple hydro events and yet the one week we get substantial cold is when we get a break from the moisture. Awesome.
Last December’s storm dropped 16 inches of snow imby, and I joked with everyone that it was enough snow in one storm to account form two winters. Mother Nature must’ve thought so too