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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. A few days ago I'd say that a warmer outlook and early spring were a bad thing, but now I'm not so sure. With all that's going on, it'll be nice to have warm weather for ample time outdoors.
  2. Don't forget the underwater tree stump collection. I've donated many streamers and nymphs to the bottom of mountain streams lol.
  3. Might have to hit Beech tonight.... haven’t went skiing all winter but that slope cam makes it hard to resist.
  4. Wow. Snow showers broke containment big time. We had heavy snow for a short time a couple of hours ago (didn’t stick), but relatives in the northern foothills managed to pick up at least a half an inch.
  5. Clear skies and a stiff breeze in the foothills. I miss those days of living above 3,000 ft. 1,100 just isn’t cutting it.
  6. I can always tell when you guys are getting hammered. We went from crystal clear skies in the foothills to a dense cloud deck just a few miles to the west and some streamer clouds racing overhead. Wish I was about 10 miles further west. Enjoy it!
  7. Well, add another dusting to the 2019-2020 resume. Torn between wanting a big snow and being ready for fishing/topless Jeep weather. To all of you that really cashed in, congrats!
  8. Rates never came to fruition. Also we torched at the surface...very fitting for this winter.
  9. Haven't given up hope, but the trends are troubling for the lee.
  10. The foothills of western NC have been one of the wettest locations in the United States for the last two years, with nearly every rain storm over performing. Now...with a winter storm on the doorstep, we're finally going to have an under-performer and virtually no qpf LOL.
  11. Interesting to see so many short range models trimming totals in the lee of the Apps, yet continue to show more intense rates and snow bands in those areas this afternoon. It doesn't really add up.
  12. It's interesting to see the models hold back on totals, yet show an intense band of snow for the afternoon hours in the Lee of the Apps. Something doesn't add up.
  13. Not buying the anti-foothill guidance. I’ve not encountered too many overrunning events that didn’t score well in the foothills counties.
  14. Lived in the foothills my entire life and I’ve never seen an overrunning setup skimp on the foothills - but I’ve seen plenty of models say it would. Not discounting the guidance, but there hasn’t been a single simulated radar that doesn’t show heavy banding impacting at least half of the foothill counties.
  15. Simulated radar seems to have more of a sw to ne component, so we might be good.
  16. I’ve got a good feeling about this event. I’m not a met, just a hobbyist like most of us, but something in me says that the NAM verifies.
  17. 18z NAM will be telling IMO. I feel like this is the run where it either sticks or completely folds.
  18. The NAM has its flaws, but I think it's ironic to see it written off by so many mets. The two minor events that have occurred so far in W NC, NW SC and parts of Georgia were nailed by the NAM, days in advance. It's had solid footing this year. Also, as someone living in western NC, I have a hard time buying dry solutions - everything has overachieved in qpf this winter.
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