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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. BooneWX
    Don’t let any model run distract you from the fact that we were golfing and fishing 2 weeks ago. Just enjoy the moment.
  2. BooneWX
    I’ve lived in the foothills a vast majority of my life and the rule of thumb I’ve always had in most of these setups is that sleet overperforms and saves the day during a transition. Let’s hope that rule of thumb continues but I definitely think my area spends more time as snow, snow/sleet than much else. The warm nose is prevalent on the sounding but it’s not honking at Zr.
  3. BooneWX
    The trend with Zr in the Euro is highly concerning. Gives me 7 inches of wet snow and over a half an inch of ice. Cut that in half and it’s still lights out.
  4. BooneWX
    The cutoff is going to be gnarly on the east side. If you look at the town by town probabilities, it’s even more evident. https://www.weather.gov/gsp/winter
  5. BooneWX
    Beautiful deform band swinging through at 51 to put the final touches on the storm
  6. BooneWX
    Icon is absolutely unloading on WNC at hr 42
  7. BooneWX
    Seems like it’s had really bad feedback issues the past several runs. Not sure what’s up with it but it also performed miserably with the storm a week or so ago if I remember correctly.
  8. BooneWX
    HRRR was setting up to be a really nice hit for western NC on the 18z.
  9. BooneWX
    Diving into the 850s on the GFS, it looks good for almost everyone, including most of the foothills after a brief trip to the 1-2 degree mark. Let’s hope it continues at 18z but like we said earlier - wildly consistent.
  10. BooneWX
    Oh I think the Hendersonville area will be in the rake zone as well
  11. BooneWX
    The eastern slopes are going to be absolutely buried with upslope flow. I’ll be shocked if there aren’t a few major over performances along the escapement. That’s gotta be a nice treat for folks who typically miss out on NWF
  12. BooneWX
    Incredibly bullish
  13. BooneWX
    Feeling optimistic here in eastern Burke. Several inches of snow with a coating of sleet were the sledding conditions dreams were made of as a child
  14. BooneWX
    The gfs has been absurdly consistent the past 4-5 runs.
  15. BooneWX
    GFS remains bullish for western NC. It hasn’t blinked yet.
  16. BooneWX
    CAD always seems to come in stronger than modeled. That’s why I won’t buy the complete takeover by sleet east of the mountains just yet for any period of time.
  17. BooneWX
    Much better hit for WNC on that run
  18. BooneWX
    The one approaching SW NC in this frame
  19. BooneWX
    Hate the look of that dry slot on the NAM in WNC. Hopefully there will be some back building but that can always be the fly in the ointment for these setups.
  20. BooneWX
    This is a good run imo. One thing that worries me is that classic and pesky dry slot that keeps showing up consistently.
  21. BooneWX
  22. BooneWX
  23. BooneWX
    A bit quicker with the onset.
  24. BooneWX
    12Z GFS:
  25. BooneWX
    Make sure you’re seated when you look at the Icon and the comma head on the backside
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