BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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I send this and 12z GFS says don’t sleep on Sunday’s potential
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Northern stream seems really dominant in the first week of Dec. Not saying we can’t score but we may ironically be waiting for the cold to relax a bit in week 2 for a shot.
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As an objective observer, these next 36 hrs scream overachiever
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Regardless of what transpires, I think we can all agree it’ll be nice to just have some weather that feels seasonal for once.
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The Euro was really close to something interesting for the forum next weekend
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Cold front arrived at 6:30 on the dot
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While I’m hoping we score a coup, most ensembles have a little bit of SER action to counter the dump of cold. I’ll never bet against the SE ridge but I’m thinking the details are very far from being ironed out. A stretched PV would go a long way in squashing the ridge a bit more and it’s too early to resolve that. Albeit - it wouldn’t hurt to lay down some snowpack up north. It certainly helps our odds in the better climo months. Still think that 3rd/4th timeframe bares watching.
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May head to the Dec 2018 storm thread just to feel tingly again
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The 0Z HRRR is a hell of a look for you guys.
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First week of December has southern slider written all over it
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Cross polar flow, +PNA, Greenland block…. I’m cautious but the vibes are improving for me
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We’ve got our first fantasy storm of the season on the GFS. CAD special and it’s only 384 hrs from verifying
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I still have yet to hit freezing, and suddenly next weekends cold shot isn’t looking like a slam dunk to get there either.
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18z GFS brought the goods for the mountains. A long duration NWF event and an App State home game to enjoy every bit of it.
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Fun to have something to watch for at least
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On the bright side, a lot can change but it’s sort of clear what kind of pattern we’re likely looking at. I think it’s so much easier to head into winter with that in mind. Last year felt like a rug pull since we had an El Niño.
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There’s a legitimate shot the mower doesn’t go into the garage for good until January.
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At a minimum, this will really help with the dust problem in the disaster areas
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I was looking back at some of the wind damage from this storm and man. It was such an unusual setup from that standpoint. To have hurricane force gusts region wide in western NC from a gulf storm is something I still can’t wrap my brain around 3 weeks later.
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lol. I just put more 20-0-0 on my fescue and bluegrass. I’m afraid I’ll be mowing until Christmas again.
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As beautiful as it is, I hate this for folks who’ve lost needed warm clothes, shelter and heat.
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I’ve missed this weather so much
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I’ve been on the fence with this issue. I think both cases can be true. FEMA is helping but there’s also plenty of reason to say it hasn’t been enough.
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Over two weeks later and it’s still surreal to me that this event happened the way it did. I love weather as much as anyone on here but it’s been hard to even look at forecasts the past few weeks. My appetite for appreciable weather has been subdued by this event tremendously.
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Per Tampa radar - the eye is about 85% closed now
