Surface low has popped right along the gulf. It’s splitting hairs but it seems like it’s roughly 50-75 miles further south than the HRRR which is already the coldest
Yea I’m still not buying it but that’s more of a gut feeling than anything. I mean at Hr 32, it’s a 996 low in Banner Elk with zero signs of coastal transfer.
I’m no expert but looking at some of the “sleet” soundings, it sure seems like it’d still be a Snow/Sleet mix. The warm nose is there but not egregiously in our area. I imagine it’d be snowing fatties and mixing with a bit of sleet.
26 imby with thick clouds rolling in. Not that it’s going to matter a ton, but hopefully we can cap off any heating by the sun and stay locked in the 30s.
Plenty of time indeed. I’ve got a weird feeling about the short range models. If the gfs holds serve, I think we’ll see the short range get a clue tomorrow but time will tell.