BooneWX
-
Posts
2,633 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by BooneWX
-
GFS was close to glory
-
That was realllllly close to an absolute weenie run
-
Every single short range model is initializing temps several degrees too high. This could get interesting. That initial band of precip locked us in way lower than anticipated.
-
Alright, I don’t disagree. Thread after 12z tomorrow if it’s still there? We’ll have landfall of our wave overnight tonight.
-
Yea it might be time for a thread for Friday/Saturday.
-
On another note. Mildly intrigued by later this evening. My DP has plummeted to 23 with a temp of 34.
-
Meanwhile - I just FaceTimed family in Mount Airy. Absolutely sickening. 3.5” confirmed. There’s surprises and then there’s surprises like that. Completely unexpected.
-
Public report of 3.5” in Mount Airy.
-
Yep. Northern energy won’t be sampled until at least Wednesday. Two camps I’m now seeing: 1. Traditional models mostly show a flat, weaker wave 2. AI models mostly show a partial/full phase with a robust Miller A. I know in western NC which option I’m pulling for.
-
We’re at an interesting crossroads. The AI models almost all have a partial or full phase and a much more classic looking Miller A. The traditional models are mostly in the weak, flat camp. It’ll be interesting to see what solution wins. I know which camp I’m rooting for.
-
.
-
My family in Mount Airy has about a half an inch on the ground, silver dollars falling and it’s 28.
-
Sleet 35/18
-
All in all, I like where we’re at right now, even if we’re still awaiting the Euro. I’m getting a feeling that we’re looking at a true CAD event regardless of how amped or not amped the system is.
-
I’m telling you, we gotta move it all here going forward. As we get closer, if we get more I85 solutions, it’s going to be gross in that main thread.
-
The GFS is terrible at day 5/6 with handling low level cold
-
My goodness it is thumping at hr 138
-
If that moisture can hang on over the mountains, we’re going to get quite the surprise.
-
Yall are about to get a surprise
-
They were good, as were the ensembles, despite the mood in here.
-
I need a subscription to one of these model tracking sites. I’d kill to see the city chart for Hickory rn.
-
I’m getting Jan 2022 vibes. I think the setup is very different in the upper levels but the surface depiction feels similar.
-
We are in the best position as of 9 am that we’ve been at any point tracking this system
-
Interestingly, it’s ensembles don’t support a Miller B at all.
-
.
