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BooneWX

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  1. BooneWX
    THIS WILL CRASH THE INTERNET IN ABOUT 10 MIN
  2. BooneWX
    Painfully close. Painfully.
  3. BooneWX
    Don’t look now but still… that Monday/Tuesday timeframe is intriguing again. 12z GFS with a weak high over Pennsylvania and a disturbance trying to fester to our south. It even has snow showers breaking out over SW NC.
  4. BooneWX
    Speak it into existence! The fat lady hasn’t sung yet. I still feel like we’re due a medium-short term surprise at some point in the next few weeks. The models are struggling.
  5. BooneWX
    I love winter and cold as much as the next person but man… this is not the year for extremes to impact the energy sector.
  6. BooneWX
    Would love to see the ensembles get on board here at 12z. It’s so so close… snow breaking out over Ark and Oklahoma is a huge weenie alert signal for at least the Carolinas. On the positive side - It feels like we should expect that any shots of winter weather at the front of this pattern change would likely come with little advance. At 7 days, I like this. The players are on the field.
  7. BooneWX
    Shared this in the other thread but especially for us, this isn’t a bad look at the 7 day range. The high pressure location is very workable and should supply enough dry air down the spine. Now can we get that disturbance to turn into a slider or full on Miller A?
  8. BooneWX
    This is not a bad look…. Sprawling high over the upper Midwest - which has produced the signature supply of cad many storms before. Clear storm signal to our south……this bears watching and it’s not in fantasy land.
  9. BooneWX
    I agree. I don’t see any reason to think anything has been canceled or delayed. With a pattern change this stout and the teleconnections on the table, it’s wise to take the average of the models instead of falling for the back and forth of the Ops.
  10. BooneWX
    Maybe I missed something but both the EPS and GEFS looked perfectly fine. If anything, it was a positive trend since the prior ensembles had the type of cold that’ll send the lows into Cuba.
  11. BooneWX
    I’ll take 33 and rain instead of that.
  12. BooneWX
    Deep breaths folks. The ingredients are on the table. Just gotta hope Russell Wilson ain’t the chef.
  13. BooneWX
    That 18/19th timeframe just continues to look interesting.
  14. BooneWX
    the OP has been on such a wild ride these past few days. It was still painting phantom hurricanes in the Atlantic just a few days ago.
  15. BooneWX
    Man oh man this pattern is going to favor some seriously frequent flow events.
  16. BooneWX
    Incredible that even the new GFS knows where I-85 is
  17. BooneWX
    GEFS took positive steps with the PNA. That’s one key teleconnection that keeps looking better by the day despite the insanity for every other run and pattern signal.
  18. BooneWX
    If there’s a bright side to a warm winter, you wouldn’t be able to draw up a worse year for wall to wall cold with the crunch on the energy market right now.
  19. BooneWX
    It’s generally never a good sign when I’m on about a 10 day streak of seeing a ton of Mets start their tweets with “delayed but not denied.” but as others have said, generally the teleconnections don’t look bad and perhaps that’s the only thing we should be looking at anyways. The gfs is drunk with the new upgrade and everything else seems to have too many wild swings to take seriously.
  20. BooneWX
    Also one of you fellas needs to set up a livestream or live reports for one of the better flow setups . I lived vicariously through the Buffalo snow king two weeks ago and his reports were incredible. If you missed it, look him up on Twitter or crawl that thread in the upstate NY forum.
  21. BooneWX
    Yep I’ve tried to back off my panic from yesterday. I’m just a sucker for a cold December but it does look like we get the PNA close to neutral and borderline positive by around the 13th. We all know that deep down, NAO or not, that’s truly the one piece that matters the most.
  22. BooneWX
    Never! The only guaranteed cold comes April - Memorial Day edit: sorry everyone. Just a salty winter weenie.
  23. BooneWX
    What a disgusting flip in the models. Went from wall to wall cold and a rare setup to mowing the grass and golfing the rest of December.
  24. BooneWX
    This pattern is about to be unreal for you. The lakes are still warm and those fronts are going to bring a polar express with it. Can’t wait to see how much NWF you can rack up by New Years.
  25. BooneWX
    I haven’t been this excited by a look on the ensembles in years. We know how it goes…nothing is written until the ink dries but nonetheless, at least things seem to be getting interesting.
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