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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Before we get started on this event, I just want to express one more time how enjoyable this week has been. I wouldn’t want to piss away time on my phone with any other psychopaths! It was good to see so many names I haven’t seen in a while and we may not be done yet. The pattern says we get sleep no time soon. Buckle up baby!
  2. I know it’s the Graf but in my past observations it’s pretty good with picking up unique meso features and banding. I’m glad every run seems to be looking better on it.
  3. Im trying to not let bias kick in, but it’s only increased its run to run variability closer to game time and each run differs from consensus drawn by much better models.
  4. Whiplash is the correct word. Violently different solutions between runs, but hey, you can stop looking at models now, it’s almost go time. May luck be in our favor fellas. I really hope this is the one to quench our thirst.
  5. The Hornets have won 11 of their last 12. Something good is coming.
  6. Jimbo, I hope you’re feeling better. Some Tegridy will cure it right up.
  7. There we go. That’s what I was hoping for. I would’ve been nervous if the RDPS hadn’t come around. It’s performed well of late.
  8. We need to be as close to that ULL as possible. Compare the positions of the ULL on runs we like vs runs we don’t. She’s getting a bit too far south now.
  9. While that digging is cool for SC and Georgia, the more it happens, the less energy to tap into.
  10. Meh. I am admittedly worried we don’t have a single cam anywhere near the global outputs. Usually a rough sign.
  11. Well their justification is that you’ll get downsloped as the meso low pulls away, which is logical, but I think my point is that undersells the meso low. The accumulation will have already happened by then for the most part. As soon as we slack on flow, it’s a downsloping issue all the way to charlotte. It doesn’t discount the thumping that happens before then.
  12. Shorty get down, good Lord Baby got 'em up open all over town Strictly biz, she don't play around Cover much grounds, got game by the pound .
  13. If you want to have some fun. Ask AI how big the drifts would be if you had a foot of snow and 30 mph gusts. Go on, don’t wait.
  14. Yall aren’t seeing a lee side minimum. We have upslope flow and a strong easterly fetch off a meso low. You’re seeing models show subsidence from intense banding on the edge of the foothills and piedmont. You can’t expect models to accurately resolve that or lee side enhancement at this range.
  15. They’ll know local enhancement factors the best
  16. It’s out to lunch on ratios. Gives me 3” at 10:1 but 4.7” on the kuchera. Easily 6” at 20:1.
  17. You can see the SLP enhancement as the band pivots back west before scooting out on the 3k
  18. Gotta ignore the 12k. Feedback issues painfully evident in the surface output.
  19. Gonna be honest, I really doubt some of these models on the slp placement. Seems more logical that it’ll be on the edge of the gulf stream closer to the coast, which would enhance us as well with the easterly fetch.
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