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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Based on Josh’s location, it looks like he maybe just barely got into the eye. Won’t have perfect readings obviously but maybe some hope for the incredible shots.
  2. Small wobble left… I think Josh may actually have nailed it. Won’t be dead center but he should get into the eye.
  3. Jeff Piotrowski is live from Santa Cruz. He should get the eastern eyewall: https://x.com/jeff_piotrowski/status/1983145649861202156?s=12
  4. Josh settled on a location in Treasure Beach. He’s going to get nailed (as he usually does).
  5. 910 on first pass but they didn’t hit the center - looks like the sw edge of the eye
  6. And one would think as it gets closer to the coast, there’s room for even more tightening as friction with land starts to do its work.
  7. In the spirit of @wncsnowand @Met1985, MJO is overrated, give me an optimal eastern pacific and I’ll take my chances.
  8. Noticed that too. Last several frames on IR go Nw-W-SW-S. Maybe a wobble but seems like it might be the turn. Landfall at Savanna La-mar is my guess.
  9. I assume you’re talking about height. Those cloud tops are somewhere between 40-50k ft tall. Thicck with two c’s.
  10. I was optimistic the warming in the sw eyewall might be a good sign but it seems to be cooling again with new hot towers firing in that region. This thing is an absolute machine.
  11. Quite the washout this week. I might be able to winterize the sprinkler system. It’s that good, slow, soaking rain too.
  12. 2009 was such a fun and often overlooked event. I remember it started as a trickle that afternoon and just became an avalanche by dinner time. Cars center-bound on the roads, plows could accomplish nothing. Days of sledding and ice cold through Christmas. I remember family dinner Christmas Eve at our grandparents home and still having to scrape black ice off the driveway.
  13. I’d take one decent pre-Christmas snow over 2 in Jan/Feb. Nothing on earth can match the magic of a good Jeb walk around the neighborhood with a blanket of white and Christmas lights glowing.
  14. Chili on the stove, temps in the low 60s, football on.
  15. Moving forward this winter, I’ll be giving Google DeepMind quite a bit of attention. It’s been performing very well in the tropics.
  16. IMO an ERC down the road wouldn’t be likely anyways. As it gets closer to the coast and higher terrain, the core is likely to tighten up with frictional convergence.
  17. Calm conditions all night and clear skies so I do believe it was the lake. Gonna throw some ice in the water this afternoon and see if we can speed things up. Honestly, I love these microclimates. My old house was at the lowest elevation in probably a square mile and just off a creek. I’d consistently be 7° below the airport reading. New place is the exact opposite. It was almost Dec before the lake lost influence last year.
  18. Insane. Stalled at 42 and never went further.
  19. 40° here. Hoping to get the first frost of the season tonight, but we’ll see.
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