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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. It’s not a rug pull. Very nice event across the board, especially considering ratios. It’s just not throwing out the gaudy totals we’ve seen from other guidance. We’re in that fog of war phase for model watching where we might be over analyzing every single tick for players that are currently thousands of miles away.
  2. @Hvwardvideo update today? I’m yearning for your thoughts. Seems like the AI data is really honing in on higher totals west under our ULL.
  3. It’s like if the 2003 storm and the Carolina crusher had a baby
  4. Crazy setup. .5” QPF would be almost a foot at 20:1 ratios.
  5. Closer to the coast, a little more digging west before she turns
  6. Use the NAM for profiles, not precip output. Profiles won’t be an issue in this storm tho.
  7. Now that I’ve seen the surface depiction, it seems like it might be having some feedback issues like the Canadian last night. You can see it trying to pop the low well east of the isobars it should be located at. Thus the paltry snow shield.
  8. From the coastal, you’re right. But as the ULL digs down, it’ll be in a good position to put a deform band over western Nc. I have no doubt there’s a higher ceiling down east with bombogenesis but in most setups, this is a 4-7” invent under the ULL.
  9. Reminder that the NAM is paltry at range. Just focus on the footprint until Friday.
  10. 4” of snow this weekend and I’d give the winter an A. 6” and it’s an A+ and best in at least a decade.
  11. Good morning boys. Someone call the we’re back department and let em know what’s up.
  12. Lee side min ain’t going away until the short range catches on to the meso low
  13. What a night. If 12z doubles down, it’s going to be hard to contain my excitement.
  14. More or less, it’s just finally keying in on a closer to the coast track and a more expansive precip shield, which rakes the east coast. Not necessarily moving north - you can see the nice halt on the south end of the blue.
  15. Double precip maxima. Western areas are getting smoked under the upper level low and lee side enhancement.
  16. You’ll see that fill in if we can maintain this look. I’d wager the upstate gets hammered.
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