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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. BooneWX
    It’s not a rug pull. Very nice event across the board, especially considering ratios. It’s just not throwing out the gaudy totals we’ve seen from other guidance. We’re in that fog of war phase for model watching where we might be over analyzing every single tick for players that are currently thousands of miles away.
  2. BooneWX
    Yep. Need that ULL to really be in the right spot .
  3. BooneWX
    Less negative tilt, less west this run
  4. BooneWX
    Still gonna be a good run down east
  5. BooneWX
    This euro run is going to be drier
  6. BooneWX
    Assault
  7. BooneWX
    @Hvwardvideo update today? I’m yearning for your thoughts. Seems like the AI data is really honing in on higher totals west under our ULL.
  8. BooneWX
    It’s like if the 2003 storm and the Carolina crusher had a baby
  9. BooneWX
    Crazy setup. .5” QPF would be almost a foot at 20:1 ratios.
  10. BooneWX
    Closer to the coast, a little more digging west before she turns
  11. BooneWX
    Use the NAM for profiles, not precip output. Profiles won’t be an issue in this storm tho.
  12. BooneWX
    And still dumping
  13. BooneWX
    I believe it ingested 6z data
  14. BooneWX
    Now that I’ve seen the surface depiction, it seems like it might be having some feedback issues like the Canadian last night. You can see it trying to pop the low well east of the isobars it should be located at. Thus the paltry snow shield.
  15. BooneWX
    From the coastal, you’re right. But as the ULL digs down, it’ll be in a good position to put a deform band over western Nc. I have no doubt there’s a higher ceiling down east with bombogenesis but in most setups, this is a 4-7” invent under the ULL.
  16. BooneWX
    Reminder that the NAM is paltry at range. Just focus on the footprint until Friday.
  17. BooneWX
    4” of snow this weekend and I’d give the winter an A. 6” and it’s an A+ and best in at least a decade.
  18. BooneWX
    I can’t wait to see the NAM in a bit
  19. BooneWX
    Good morning boys. Someone call the we’re back department and let em know what’s up.
  20. BooneWX
    Lee side min ain’t going away until the short range catches on to the meso low
  21. BooneWX
    What a night. If 12z doubles down, it’s going to be hard to contain my excitement.
  22. BooneWX
    More or less, it’s just finally keying in on a closer to the coast track and a more expansive precip shield, which rakes the east coast. Not necessarily moving north - you can see the nice halt on the south end of the blue.
  23. BooneWX
    Double precip maxima. Western areas are getting smoked under the upper level low and lee side enhancement.
  24. BooneWX
    Greed is an ugly thing
  25. BooneWX
    You’ll see that fill in if we can maintain this look. I’d wager the upstate gets hammered.
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