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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Agreed. Best lift in these setups is never in southern VA or northern NC.
  2. Hoping it beefs back up but radar to the west ain’t hot like it was just a bit ago
  3. HRRR is most closely matching up to real time radar trends. Take a look at the radar for western NC, the HRRR sniffed out the virga storm first for this region.
  4. Ceiling has lowered quite a bit. I’m hoping this is an early indication that we’re in for a fun day because this all looks like upslope enhancement to me. As much as that soaks us most storms, I think we deserve it for this one!
  5. Good dudes who don’t get nearly enough credit for providing weather coverage to an underserved area
  6. What I keep seeing consistently in the models is that there is going to be some sort of narrow corridor that’s typical of a southern slider that’s going to over perform greatly. Seems like there’s two camps: 1. Forest City to just west of Salisbury 2. @wncsnowto Statesvegas and High Point
  7. After the swings this week, anything above 2” will be gravy. Hoping we all get to eat tomorrow. It’s been too long and after this fall’s events, we deserve it. Glad we have this thread and thankful to have folks nearby, even if I haven’t met you in person, to chop it up with.
  8. I probably shouldn’t but I’ve seen a few meltdowns from far eastern TN accounts on Twitter tonight and I’ve been chuckling. Get ready to learn about downsloping for once!
  9. The HRRR is initializing temps 4-5 degrees too high atm. Not sure that really matters because we’re talking about mid level warmth but obviously makes me cautious of over valuing warmer depictions.
  10. 27/14…. Patiently awaiting my order of southern sliders
  11. Sunday’s event outperformed in precip when compared to the models as well. I remember this being discussed in the MA threads.
  12. HRRR was first to the uptrend in 2022. It absolutely nailed the storm.
  13. Just hang on until tomorrow when we’ve had 6 hrs of returns and the air isn’t fully saturated
  14. Looks like we took a step back this run. On the wide view I saw a few min ago, there is a ton of gulf convection that robs moisture transport.
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