BooneWX

This La Niña pattern in the middle of an El Niño is truly something

Luckily the ridge out west is trending stronger. We need it to go a bit taller but we’re close.

Really enjoyed today. Almost made it 70 degrees! Got some outside work done with enough time left to fish. If I’d known the rain would hold off that long, I would’ve smoked a Boston Butt.

Yea I’m not even trying to bash the winter. I’m just sick of not being allowed to talk about the weather in the mid range thread if it doesn’t fit the cold/snowy narrative folks want. Weather is weather and I love it year around. People who don’t want anything other than pro-snow comments being made can touch grass.

Gotta talk here more since the only damn comments in the main thread that are allowed are ones where we ignorantly wish cast a snowy winter.

Last point on this since we’ve been asked to return to the wishcasting for snow comments to stay on topic. im by no means arguing that every anomaly is related to climate change. I made a point that we’re seeing less and less winter weather in the south. This predates 5 years of poor east coast patterns. Heck, take winter out of the equation and just look at the overall averages for the past 20 years and you can see the trend. Again, you’re absolutely right that we can’t blame every specific event on the climate but the trend is not our friend. edit: and yes, scorching is the best way to describe the ocean when its temps are on par with mid-summer.

I can assure you that me making a link between climate change and how it impacts our mid range pattern is a lot more on topic than anything else on this platform the past 3 weeks.

Respectfully - you can’t make a realistic climate change argument by comparing the Sierra’s to our region. the bottom line is that our oceans are scorching. Atlantic sea surface temps are on pace with JUNE in February. Our poor pacific pattern is likely caused by how much warmth the basin is holding as well. Snowfall in the south has been trending downward the past 20 years and extreme temps are trending up. This isn’t a “bad spell,” this is climatology. So yes, I can make reasonable assumptions based on climatological facts.

I’m not mad a bit. Going fishing later!

You know as well as I do that winter always arrives in April

No need for me to pile on but there’s not much to see here. The cold pattern looks seasonal at best and seasonal isn’t going to get it done. Not to be doom and gloom but I said a few weeks ago we would all have to adjust our expectations with climate change and here we are. Winter conditions are going to be increasingly unlikely outside of the mts and that’s just our reality. When we do get snow (and we will), enjoy the hell out of it because you’ll never know how long it’ll be until the next round.

The pacific pattern of the past few years will certainly be one worth studying

Wild how the GFS knows exactly where I-85 is

That sort of evolution has worked on many times before. Christmas 2009 or was it 2010? Comes to mind. Two separate waves delivering the goods to different areas.

Fwiw that looked like a very strong overrunning signal for a few frames and I wouldn’t anticipate a global to sniff that out at 180 hrs

Ssssssshhhhhhhhewwwww that was an inch from crashing this forum.

My rule of thumb has always been that when March Madness tips off mid-month with conference tournaments, it’s over. The fat lady will have sung her song. Honestly excited for spring - this has been a wet and miserable winter with a lot of sickness and won’t be mad if we’re torching in 3 weeks.

That mid-Feb 2003 storm was nuts. I’ve never seen sleet accumulate like that in my life. It was a crust that stuck around for days and it made for the best sledding.

Nope! At a minimum it’s a sign that they’re on board for recognizing the ripe potential in front of us.

Presidents Day just continues to look interesting. It feels like if we’re going to have a window, it’s that window.

I’ll shut up for years if I net almost 20 inches

Not gonna lie. I selfishly loved the Euro depiction: a sustained trip through the cold phases for one last crack at winter weather but then progressing firmly to the warm side of things as spring creeps in. As much as I love snow odds, I’ll always die on the hill that cold springs suck.