BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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Congrats to all of my weather brethren down east. The radar looks glorious. I dream of a day that solid green returns and sub 32 temps grace my life but until then, I’ll live vicariously through you guys (before you say it, yes we had a foothill event a few weeks ago but nobody is claiming that disgusting little sleet fest), carry on.
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Looks like no torch is in sight but no crazy cold either. We’re about to enter a Pacific pattern like we’re used to. There’s a lot of cold that should stay on this side of the globe so maybe we can make something work. It’d be nice to get a HP parked where it’s supposed to be and time up a storm.
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Make negative tilt phased lows great again!
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Man I’m inching closer to glory. 23/13
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24/11
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Dandruff conditions here in granite falls
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Latest RAP gives me, @calculus1 @WiseWeatherand @WXNewton an inch
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I have McFlurries
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Love seeing the hot light on here. If yall are posting, it’s not falling too much further above me.
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Definitely looks good on radar. I’m hoping some of those heavier returns can gain more latitude.
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Our band that is modeled to give us a shot is currently setting up over northern Ga and is starting to spill into SW Nc.
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I’ve been using the smaller tower in Charlotte. It isn’t great but if you play with the tilt, you can see good returns on tilt 3 and increasing returns on 2. A good sign.
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I’ve seen 1-2 flakes the last hour. Not even enough to classify it as flurries but the deck is lowering and maybe it’s a sign we’re saturating the atmosphere a bit.
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Gonna try and get on the roof around 4 and do my part moistening the lower levels with a hose
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If it makes you feel better, folks with sub 10° dps are seeing snow in SC currently. Webb also discussed yesterday that dry air is less of a factor in these setups since the moisture is typically below the normal snow growth zone.
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Yep it may be my eyes deceiving me but on the regional radar for the southeast, there’s way more of a northerly component to the precip movement than I would have anticipated. Southern Tenn is starting to see returns. Some of the heavier returns over Alabama are gaining quite a bit of latitude at the moment. There’s a distinct possibility the tap to the gulf has been opened. We may all be in for quite the surprise by sunset.
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Based on saturation above our heads, I just get a feeling that the upstate to Charlotte are in for quite a surprise.
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Based on saturation above our heads, I just get a feeling that the upstate to Charlotte are in for quite a surprise.
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Lines up with my thoughts. I think we have a 3-4 hr window, max, to make the most of the situation. An hour of light snow would likely do some damage though.
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Healthy radar blossoming to the sw. Virga but returns nonetheless are making it to Chattanooga.
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Just some obs: if I’m looking for western NC snow in this orientation and setup, I’d want to see some returns breaking out over central and northern Alabama imo. Sure enough, radar has improved dramatically there. Virga stretching as far north as Chattanooga right now.
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It’s because these models are tools, not verbatim. Everyone take a breather and watch the radar at this point. Many of us will get snow. Some more than others but weather is going to weather and the NAM/HRRR/GFS etc are all beyond useless at this juncture.
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I just think we all need to step away from the models. People emotionally attaching to each run when the current runs aren’t even on the same planet as what’s verifying on the ground. People are cliff diving over the NAM when it initializes with a quarter of what’s on radar currently.
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Be careful over analyzing models that are currently doing a horrible job initializing radar data and obs
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Enjoy the nowcasting folks. Fingers crossed for an overperformer.
