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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Wouldn’t be shocked if many of us are seeing wintry precip by sunrise Saturday or even overnight Friday. Precip always seems to arrive ahead of schedule.
  2. QPF should be insane. Much more Baja interaction.
  3. Precip approaching NC by Friday evening, wow
  4. Nutty thing about that icon run: more amped, but also a deeper cad. Some would get biblical sleet accumulation.
  5. This is setting up to be an absolute disaster somewhere and that somewhere is likely a historically large region.
  6. I hate it’s only Monday. I can’t shake the nerves.
  7. Our failure mode is apparent and it’s not a trend north
  8. Well I agree with you. They’re betting on an amped solution that plows into the high (unlikely). I think if anything, bet the streak. The streak being suppression.
  9. A lot of concern about northern solutions today but I’m way more concerned about an overly suppressed look.
  10. TAKE YOUR WORDS BACK. Mother Nature isn’t capable of doing it, I don’t think she has that dog in her (reverse psychology).
  11. Godspeed to anyone in the freezing rain sector of this storm
  12. Hell has frozen over, we’re going to have near perfect agreement with the GFS and EURO
  13. Well the Euro AI just came south, led by it noticing that CAD is a thing
  14. Absolutely stupid GEFS run. Make sure you’re seated when you pull it up.
  15. This is a completely different animal imo. Last year the signal was loud but also obvious early on that anyone further east than the mid south was hoping for strung out northern energy to pay dividends. None of that bs this time! This from an analog standpoint is 100% how you get a memorable significant impact from the plains to the eastern seaboard.
  16. This as well. This isn’t my bias but an absolute fact that deterministic models at range never account for CAD correctly. I’d expect we’ll see it under modeled until that Wed/ thurs window.
  17. I’m not banking on any model. None have done well
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