BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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He and has family died in a plane crash today in Statesville
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RIP Greg Biffle. He cared far more about Western NC after Helene than every government agency combined.
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Yep this is a good soaking rain that we needed ahead of the pattern change
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I 100% agree. I’ve always considered a trace measurable and shocked that it’s not. So maybe I now have beef with the NWS interpretation of a trace. But I’ve had a long standing frustration with the NWS on their PR front. They need to hire a few PR firms to assist in overhauling their public facing language. My biggest gripe: “Marginal, slight, moderate, high, extreme.”
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I’m the melted on contact guy and I’m man enough to apologize. I had always considered a trace measurable but happily proven wrong. I’ve had token flakes a few times and I hope you didn’t perceive my initial comment as an attack on you. I’m admittedly not a fan of Webb and let my bias pour through.
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This is our only way out in the near future and it’s starting to show in the LR: east based NAO starts trending west, get a 50/50 low in the right spot and send our death ridge closer to the Rockies and see what we can do. We’re going to have to bully the Pacific pattern, which I’m not sure is possible, but that’s what it’s going to take. Positive steps overnight and it appears the PNA gets a lot closer to neutral by the end of the month.
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Raw day here with the cloud cover
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I’ve seen Mets saying it has a cold bias and its ensembles as well. I wish we had someone on here with access to Google deep mind, because it’s been very accurate since summer.
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Yep. Not panicking yet, but if we haven’t moved that Aleutian Ridge by week 2 in Jan, I’ll get really bearish.
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Selfishly, I spend most of my time here and would love to get our former forum stalwarts back to posting on AmericanWx. We’ve segmented more the last few years by region since many have dropped off and I think that’s only enhanced discussions.
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I don’t think that Aleutian Ridge is going anywhere on its on. @Daniel Boone pointed this out in the TV thread, but the only way to glory soon is to back our blocking west, boot the death ridge to the west coast and shove that Aleutian Ridge into a more optimal spot deep into Russia. I do think we get a strong -NAO but it remains to be seen if that has the downstream effects we need.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
BooneWX replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’ve got a kid in daycare and it’s been an absolute nightmare of viruses since September really. This fall and winter has been a sick season on steroids. -
You don’t have to. I peak over there to cross check the vibes and today is a hilarious war of words. That’s why I stick here. Everything is measured and while they have some great posters, it’s full of too many folks speaking in absolutes and getting obnoxious when the ball doesn’t roll their way. I go here to converse, read anything from @Carvers Gapto learn, and head there for my entertainment.
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The SouthernWX forum has devolved into a war between warm weather trollers and the rest of the board lmao.
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I’d say there’s a strong chance Monday morning will be the lowest temp of the winter season. I may eat my words, but low teens have been hard to come by for years now.
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I take issue with Eric’s maps. A trace is measurable and I can say definitively that no location south of Yadkin County in the NC foothills has seen a trace this year. He has my area marked at 4 “trace” events. Our best event was a 2 hr period of off and on light snow that melted on contact.
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It is what it is at this point. We won’t be the only ones suffering. Best advice I’ve got is for everyone to take a deep breath at the keyboard, go outside, smell some Christmas trees, golf, fish, get some vitamin d. It’s been a cold 3 weeks and a break won’t be bad. I hope it’s not extended but what can any of us do about it? Jammin January and Fab Feb are just around the corner.
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I said this in the foothills thread the other day but the long range screams miller b possibilities east of the apps.
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I’ve been exploring home snow makers so I can never experience a drought again
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My fear is that it’s part of the base state. I think we revisit cold snaps many times this winter and it’s far from over in that front, but if we can’t start working it eastward like you said, it’s really going to be hard to move away from this clipper pattern in place over the eastern US. -NAO would be a huge step as @wncsnowpointed out. I’ll take my chances with a cad high but I’m struggling to see where the southern jet can get involved or we get enough digging out of the northern stream.
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Bottom line: gotta kick that Aleutian Ridge
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13.5! Let’s do this again in Jan, preferably after 10 inches of snow.
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From what I’ve seen on Facebook, a dusting to a half an inch. It’s on the move, but I’d think if it had stayed stationary, some folks would’ve been smoked. Okracoke is getting in on the fun now.
