On the ULL: if that becomes our primary way to score, hold onto your seats. Globals will be absolutely horrendous these next two days. We could see runs dropping a foot and then dropping nothing every 6 hrs. CAMs will have to come into range to provide clarity on that particular setup. Trying to figure out moisture/deform bands in the winter time with an ULL is like trying to pinpoint where a pop up storm will occur 2 days out in the summer
In my experience, Weathernext does good on totals/moisture but it’s not lapping anyone in that regard. But it does run circles around every other model on track and the overall setup. I’d be worried if it lost it out to sea. The 3 run trend for it is virtually the same and locked in.
Not surprised but also still happy with the footprint. Still a fine 3-6” swath at 15:1 ratios. Western side of the state might be more in the 17/18:1 range.
Good morning my Appalachian brethren. I hope your week is going well. I’ve come here to join forces as a collective council. For years, we’ve been divided by rich (windward hills) and poor (leeward hills). The time has come for forces to align. There was a period many years ago where we could forcefully WILL an out-east weenie map westward. Do we have the same magic in us? I think we could. Everyone focus all of your positive energy as a collective western NC body to get the pretty pink colors over us by say Thursday.
Weathernext has been outpacing other suite’s since tropical season, and not even relatively close either. I had a chart a while back, I’ll look today and see if it’s still on my computer and share it with you.
Icon is following the NAM (I know), west, with our northern stream. Keep playing around with that look, you’ll drop the wave somewhere around Arkansas and instead of your late bloomer, you get a gulf low
Weathernext also presents a way for a maximum amount of people to win. Western Carolina’s, n ga, s va get hammered by the upper low and the surface low cleans up the map down east.