BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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The GFS has legs because of this. They’re almost identical at that hour, just a matter of who is right on the strength.
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Yep it’s not going to be a surface depiction we want but the energy is where we’d want it now. Just needs to amp some.
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The Euro is very close to meeting the Montana benchmark that gets a lot of people involved. Idk what the surface will show shortly, but this trend is real.
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Euro with a major jump west
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By my count, about 10/15 GEFS members are hits for WNC. Several would be whoppers.
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What are your thoughts on how this shake’s out? Always appreciate your insights
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Kuchera even higher for some
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MUCH improved gfs run holy smokes
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West again on the gfs. Energy coming into Montana.
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RGEM starting off hot at 12z. Substantial tick west.
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Fwiw, Webb thinks this comes northwest down to 0 hour
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I’m not saying it’s impossible but I think what’s likely to happen is a few ticks west that get us sort of in the game and then closer to game time, she’ll swing right again. What’s changed overnight is the handling of the ridge placement out west. I don’t imagine we keep seeing that trend much longer and I do think it’ll correct closer to its tilted look albeit to a lesser degree that it’s had.
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I’ve said this a thousand times and I’ll say it again. One of these days. May be this year, or it may be 10 years from now idk, but we’re getting an over amped negatively tilted Miller A. It’ll ride 50 miles inland and bury us. I will apologize to absolutely no one and I want to hear nothing about I-85 and climo when it does.
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For western NC, the day 7-8 timeframe is of interest. And it has been for days on many models.
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Fun event unloading tonight. Come on boys, someone setup a jeb walk livestream! I want to feel the blizzard too!
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At this point, small changes west or east with the shortwave are going to have major downstream implications
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Buckle up boys! This weekend is going to f****** suck!!
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Went to bed early and missed the excitement. I’m politely requesting a nw trend.
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Funny you say that: the NBM’s footprint is further west tonight than some of the snowier OPs we saw at 18z. It would favor Delmarva southwest through the Virginia/NC piedmonts into western NC.
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On the bright side, it’s Tuesday evening and we’re talking about Sunday, so still some time to go in the right direction.
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Gonna get ahead of the game by reminding everyone to be thankful it’s 45° and raining and we’re avoiding early heat as long as possible
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Don’t worry yall, the blocking will show up in April
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Tick tock….
