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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. Weathernext also presents a way for a maximum amount of people to win. Western Carolina’s, n ga, s va get hammered by the upper low and the surface low cleans up the map down east.
  2. Mind you, those aren’t Kuchera ratios. It spit out .75” of QPF under the ULL in the western Carolinas. Would likely be 8-10” with the projected temps.
  3. There was a time where this would always tick west. What do yall think? Can we bring back that reality?
  4. If I have to watch a sleet fest get followed with Rocky Mount getting a foot+, I’ll have a very ugly crash out
  5. And we don’t need much moisture. We’ll maximize potential with ratios and ground temps. .3” qpf would verbatim be a 4-6” event.
  6. Correct. @wncsnowshared the latest data earlier, it was a classic west of I-95 footprint. We’ll see a new run later today and it’ll be interesting to see if it remains amped. Edit: it aligned really well with the NBM
  7. 5 days out. You don’t want to be ground zero of the clowns right now. Carry on.
  8. Just noticed the same here. Got up to almost 35 but down to 32.9
  9. NBM is starting to show the footprint we want.
  10. On the late phase/bloomer idea. I could see this ticking west with time. Our flow to the north is slowly backing up. It’s what you want to see if a big dog is in your appetite. Of course, if you’re down east, you want a strung out mess that blossoms late but if I’m I-95 west to Tenn, south into Georgia, we need to keep the trend of more digging and borderline cutting this thing off in the upper level flow.
  11. Imagine getting buried, not wasting a second of accum with the cold ground and getting to build a snow shelter with fresh bread and honey butter. The vibes would be immaculate @wncsnow
  12. After review, you were absolutely correct. Weathernext had a sizeable tick west at 6z. I’ll be curious to see if 18z holds the trend. We want at least one more tick before it locks in tomorrow and never budges again.
  13. Good luck. My fat ass didn’t even make footprints this morning. It’s that solid
  14. I may have to move commentary over here for the most part these next few days. I don’t want to come across as an ass to folks down east because I’m rooting for an incredibly amped, 30 miles inland low that cuts off at the 500mb level and goes negative tilt around Mississippi. Time to eat. Enough eastern NC appetizers through the years.
  15. Yall boys are getting cooked according to resort cams good lord
  16. Could be worse! We should have a little more wiggle room left with that model before I’d say it locks in tomorrow. Overall, I’d like to see the progression across the board to keep trending towards the classic cut off bowling ball look. We’re close on many models.
  17. You got a screenshot? I must’ve seen some conflicting info. I saw a 4 run trend and it looked well off the coast but I thought I had seen a look like you’re describing. I might just get weathervista for a week.
  18. I wish I could! I love these pretty snow maps from the euro but I can’t get sucked in to a model that shifted 400 miles at 18z Wednesday night and changed the 500mb look every cycle. Weathernext was showing our end result on Monday of last week. Everyone thought it was out to lunch - it was actually in the back making a beef Wellington.
  19. Weathernext says it ain’t the one. I’m going with that thought as well. It screams late bloomer far out to sea.
  20. Two different camps right now. Late bloomer or an earlier phase. Ik which camp I’m in but I also know which camp everyone down east will be in. Could also just be a snow event for Hudson Bay, so we’ll watch.
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