BooneWX

Also does anyone find the modeling to be eerily striking to the Christmas storm of 2010?

Different setups but we watched a region wide overrunning setup turn into a mega miller b in like 2 runs last week at this range

It’s been a long time since we’ve had lee side enhancement. I couldn’t even recall the last time we’ve had that setup. Long overdue.

Agreed because it hasn’t really waivered on evolution or footprint, just some ticks down in precip. Virtually no track shift the last few runs.

I know it’s depressing when we’re all coming off the GFS and Canadian highs from earlier, but don’t sleep on that ULL. It’s the type of setup that’ll lull you to sleep until Thursday night when the CAMs really come into range and can analyze the convective setup. There would be some BIG winners and some big losers. One of those storms where someone gets a death band to the northwest of the ULL.

It’s ULL or bust according to Wnext. Thats not an unreasonable output. Hope for a phase but an ULL can really thump in these setups. I wouldn’t expect details to be ironed out until Thursday if that’s indeed the victory path.

Still have a few more minutes, it’s not out yet

I feel like that was a really positive 12z

It has been a loooooooong time since we’ve seen any Lee side trough or enhancement. Could we break the drought?

I’d imagine the QPF could be quite undermodeled at this range. A low that close to the coast and that strong is going to throw a much healthier precip shield much further west than modeled.

Michael Clark says perk up. Hopefully he’s as correct as he was last weekend. .

Wrong still lol. We had models missing REAL-TIME analysis this weekend. This threat is far from dead.

Everyone down in the dumps and here I am browsing options at local Can-Am dealers

9.7 - shocked it wasn’t lower with the glacier on the ground

On the ULL: if that becomes our primary way to score, hold onto your seats. Globals will be absolutely horrendous these next two days. We could see runs dropping a foot and then dropping nothing every 6 hrs. CAMs will have to come into range to provide clarity on that particular setup. Trying to figure out moisture/deform bands in the winter time with an ULL is like trying to pinpoint where a pop up storm will occur 2 days out in the summer