BooneWX

Don’t let the surface output on the first storm distract from the fact that we ticked west again upstream.

Fine with the 18z runs so far.

18z gfs isn’t going to cut it on system 1, but the energy did tick west quite a bit

Yea I don’t get worrying about any surface output at this point. At 500mb we’re very close to something memorable and large with both storms. I’d be worried if clown maps were pasting me this many days out.

2.61” of rain. We’ve had dry conditions before this but I’m modestly worried it’ll be enough to loosen up tree roots before tomorrows wind.

On the second wave, the Ukie looked like it was about to unload. We really need the energy to dig further southwest. Dropping through Missouri isn’t super favorable for the southeast. It works for the mid Atlantic but I’d like to get to a final solution that bottoms out somewhere near Louisiana.

Still many days to go and a lot of wiggle room to go with it. Only one piece of energy is on land right now and even that piece is over Alaska. .

Weird evolution on system 2 from the euro

Does the mid-south even know what it’s like to lose?

BRICK

I’ve spent my whole life convinced 3.5” is enough and adequate, so I wouldn’t complain a bit. I’d say that’s an above average amount myself!!

Keep Pounding

12z will bring glory, don’t fret

Please remember to keep your hands inside the roller coaster at all times

I wouldn’t be shocked if we trend firmly towards the first event not delivering soon and the models really hone in on system 2. There’s definitely a path for storm 1, but my thinking: Current mess outside - initiates the changes we need late weekend. Pattern becomes more favorable. Storm 1 - lays out the plates, fine china and silverware. Establishes cold profiles and makes way for storm 2. Storm 2 - Delivery