BooneWX

It’s the trashFS but not gonna lie, that happy hour run was fun.

What does everyone want? Don’t tell me a foot+, that’s obvious. Give me something more attainable. I’ll start: I would love about 6” of snow with a delayed warm nose that delivers a 1” blanket of sleet on top. Sledding for days on the ice sheet with my daughter and brutal cold on the backside.

Jan 22 had a very fun miller b

Next week looks downright chilly

I agree but we’re not looking at what I’d call a true -PNA. A ridge centered over Montana can work all the same. It’s a -PNA on paper because it wouldn’t be centered right over the west coast and it’s not a particularly sharp ridge.

A lot of Baja lows in 12z. Wonder if we could kick one east.

I do agree that post-Jan 7 looks mighty tasty rn. That’s roughly when winter started in earnest last year.

Is the Pacific uncooperative though? If we keep trending towards blocking and an eastern trough, you're going to get a ridge out west even if it isn’t in a perfect position and a true +PNA look. The pacific jet will be sort of irrelevant because the only way you’re scoring anyways is to have an anchored high north of us, which will feed the cold. Point being, I’m not exactly fretting about Pacific air when we have a continental source to tap into. Another thing. If we keep getting blocking, that ridge is going west. It won’t be your quintessential +PNA look, but an Idaho/Montana ridge works here. Heck, a Seattle ridge tends to leave room for storms to cut.

24.4° - got a bit lower than I had anticipated

I’m not on the board with a cold Feb yet but with a decreasing Niña influence, I don’t think it’s out of the question to at least be near average. That would be a huge shift from years of late.

The Panthers are still playing meaningful football in December, so I’ve got hope that cold can come back

I’ll always have my Dec 8th 2025 flizzard

The cruel irony about a -NAO with a raging Aleutian ridge is we’re going to be warm and wet. We’ll finally have a mechanism for digging and getting the moisture here.

It has zero ensemble support so we’ll see. Even if it did, I don’t want to be in the bullseye for at least another 6 days. That time period does look interesting though. It seems like we get a brief break from warmth but it’s an all or nothing type of look.

65-68 will be nice for the kids to get outside and play with their gifts. I’m looking forward to some hiking and fishing these next 10 days.