BooneWX

Hope nobody minds but it’s time to usher in Jammin Jan with a new thread

Jammin January loading…let’s party

I think the target remains Jan 10-Jan 30 roughly, but I don’t see a reason we can’t be mildly excited about the first 10 days. I’ve certainly seen us score with worse looks.

JAMMIN JANUARY IS COMING

The southern jet is getting active on just about every model. I think we’re going to start seeing some fantasy storms that break the forum here shortly.

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Every now and then I get a feeling we’re headed for glory. Last time I felt this way was around that Jan 2022 timeframe. Idk, I’ve got an itch. Let’s speak this pattern into existence. We’ve already bullied the Aleutian Ridge.

If this all comes to fruition because of the pacific jet extending just enough but not overextending and pumping our southern shortwaves, it’s going to be a thing of beauty. We seemingly never have any component of the Pacific working for us and we may be staring down the barrel of an Aleutian Low, near ridge bridge on the west coast and impulses into the subtropical jet with blocking to boot. BUCKLE THE HECK UP. Get that coffee ready for those 1 am euro runs. LETS FREAKING GO

If this blocking continues to establish, we’re in play even during a seemingly mild setup or stretch. I can’t recall a block this persistent or stout in some time. You’re bound to get a high to the north and a storm eventually. The southern jet is getting some life as well. Changes are afoot my friends.

Again. It’s getting noisy in this timeframe. Euro has a cutter but a stout cad delivering an ice storm. .

A lot of model noise for the 4th - 7th with more hits centered around the 6th.

EPS says bye bye Aleutian Ridge

Before I get busy tomorrow, I wanted to wish all of you a Merry Christmas! I hope everyone put a miller b and a 1035 high in Upstate NY on their list for Santa

For what it’s worth, Cosgrove and Bam are in the same boat. Cosgrove has been saying look out for mid-late Jan since early fall.

I like Bam’s thinking the most. If you didn’t watch today’s LR video on YouTube, give it a watch. This is likely to be transient warmth followed by transient cold we’re seeing show up. @wncsnowis spot on with Bam’s comments. The pattern isn’t supportive for sustained cold + moisture (right now). I still think we need to move the Aleutian pig before that comes. Luckily, as we move past that week 2 period of Jan, we may finally get the help we need in that department with some tropical forcing.