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BlunderStorm

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Everything posted by BlunderStorm

  1. BlunderStorm
    It simply puts a smile on my face knowing some areas that far south are getting some flakes for Christmas. : )
  2. BlunderStorm
    One more Euro map for the heck of it.
  3. BlunderStorm
    Getting down to the make it or break it part of the event for a lot of areas. Hoping that any moment now the radar will start filling back in towards Crossville and Chatty.
  4. BlunderStorm
    According to the HRRR and RAP Banding redevelops in your area with the development of the leeside low in a couple hours. Aint over yet. Now... if the banding doesn't develop then the entire eastern valley is screwed...
  5. BlunderStorm
    You're talkin to the front wearin’, arctic airmass wearin’, road freezin’, thundersnow dealin’, leeside low ridin’, jet stream flyin’ son of a gun!!
  6. BlunderStorm
    Rainfall starting here as of now. Those are some wicked winds coming from the south! Had a gust over 30mph.
  7. BlunderStorm
    Alternate Version of my reaction to the 12-24-20 0z Euro Kuchera map.
  8. BlunderStorm
  9. BlunderStorm
    It's all NOWCAST from here folks! Best of luck to everyone!
  10. BlunderStorm
    Upon initial glance the Euro seems like a marginal improvement. Pretty good imo. The leeside low being slightly deeper than 12z is likely the cause.
  11. BlunderStorm
    Yes, it usually begins it's run at 12:50 so we should be wrapped up for 0z at 1:00.
  12. BlunderStorm
    Yep. Not sure what it's ensemble members are smoking in the deep south though...
  13. BlunderStorm
  14. BlunderStorm
    The GFS is holding the line of significant snowfall and pushing it south and west.
  15. BlunderStorm
    Not to mention the fact that snow aside with such a powerful front passing through you could easily get a flash freeze on bridges causing wrecks.
  16. BlunderStorm
    If you squint hard enough and ignore your windows being busted I reckon that counts as snow... West TN cashing in after all!
  17. BlunderStorm
    I'm rooting more so for a strengthening of the leeside low than it trending west, being probably the east most fella here haha. Better to expand the precip shield behind the front than shift it and delay it imo.
  18. BlunderStorm
    Non-Rushed Dandridge +3KM Version.
  19. BlunderStorm
    NAM Rolling!
  20. BlunderStorm
    These may be some words I regret but with how the meso models have been trending along with the consistency of the globals I'm gonna roll the dice and say if this storm busts... It's gonna bust the roof off the forecast.
  21. BlunderStorm
    You'll probably want to leave in the early to mid morning just to be safe as it will probably rain heavily throughout the whole trip. I would recommend not being out any later than 3 PM. As you will be driving west towards the approaching front heading back.
  22. BlunderStorm
    Any good trends this morning?
  23. BlunderStorm
    Christmas morning. 06z RGEM vs 06z NAM
  24. BlunderStorm
    One thing I noticed on the doomcast HRRR 0z is the division of the front into two waves that hit hours apart as the day progresses. How and why is beyond my understanding but one quick look at the NAM 3km in comparison doesn't show that present. Perhaps something to look out for. (Both screensnips taken at 15z) Check it out yourself on the models. EDIT: Adding to my confusion 6 hours prior and earlier looking at the presentation of the front with 2m temps it appears stronger and more progressive than the NAM 3km.
  25. BlunderStorm
    Interesting Update but you would think they would at least relent and lay down some winter weather advisories north and east of TRI.
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