BlunderStorm

If I got such as a flurry of what was depicted I'd have a smile. No other globals I've seen support it but what're you gonna do. The global ensemble system does throw some of us in the far northeast a bone but it's mainly focused to the blue ridge and east. Other than the obvious issues of this taking place in broad daylight during April of all months it seems the storm will more than likely stray too far east to significantly affect us. Let's cross our fingers and hope for more support from model guidance.

Bump. Of note I have a few more flurries to report so that's something I suppose and yesterday I started up the old push mower which had lied dormant since November. "Oh spring how I welcome and dread you so..."

Ok, that is just too cool! Also currently 31 and a few flurries fell so it counts as an observation.

Well, as little as it is I am glad to have awoken to a solid dusting this morning. I just hope I can report over a foot of snow as the bare minimum for my location this season before all is said and done. A little less than an inch to go!

Per, Carver's request and seeing that today is the first day of meteorological Spring I figured we might as well get a thread going. Here's to hoping for warm and sunny days ahead!

Thank you for the explanation. I had a partial understanding before this just picking up on things but this really cleared things up.

So essentially the source for our cold is limited and the low in some runs is shown as being too strong. In other words we have a juggling act. The drop in annual snowfall for Knoxville in the past 40 years was really eye opening, thanks for that tidbit of info.

Regarding this weekends storm system. I understand the high in the midwest is crucial to CAA resulting in snow as the low supporting precipitation slides under it. However as pressure rises precipitation is less encouraged and is generally lighter. On the 12z GFS the storm was suppressed to the south resulting in no snow at all here. On the other hand for the 18z GFS the high pressure was weakened and as a result I was projected with precipitation except the temperatures were too mild to support snowfall for a majority of the storm. So in a nutshell what I'm saying is how do you get the cold and the moisture together dang it?!

Lacking extensive knowledge of the effects of SSTs in different parts of the oceans and how they affect our weather patterns is a part of the reason you see little traffic in this thread. I can easily give observations, dish out banter and fantasy storms, and even give a rudimentary opinion as to what to expect a few weeks in advance, but beyond that I feel I cannot create a coherent post of value in this thread so I sit in the background instead attempting to learn. In other words I am aware of my own ignorance about the topic so I restrain myself and when I do make a post outside of banter or observations I try my best.

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/ I don't believe this site has been shared on this thread. It's especially useful for it's snow&ice cover map as an alternative to https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/snow-cover/ as well as having many other uses such as satellite imagery, NWS radar sites, and surface observations. You can thank Jax for finding it.

I had just been in Johnson City as the storms hit around dusk when about 30 minutes into one of the storms it began to hail. Luckily (pun intended) the hail was small and no damage was done to any cars or property at least from what I saw. I would say the hail was roughly a centimeter or a little more in diameter and it lasted around 5 minutes. Once the rain died down a little I came outside it looked like it had snowed in the grass. I thought the novelty of seeing significant snow and hail within a few days was pretty amusing truly March at its finest. Unfortunately I did not have a camera on me at the time so I didn't capture anything. It's also worth mentioning I saw some pretty spectacular streaks of lightning too.

Still plenty of action left for Wilmington. At least you guys have a storm to follow it is pretty frustrating here in the Tennessee Valley with plenty of activity in the ohio valley and southeast. So far annual snowfall has thrown climate out of the window. Heaven forbid more than an inch of snow falls here. Still it does put a smile on my face when places like Tallahassee, Valdosta, and Savannah see snow. Even if it means sub-zero temps for me.

My love and interest in weather has always existed in me. Being a teenager my interest was only truly brought to the forefront less than three years ago during the February 2015 North American Cold Wave. To be exact it was the President's Day Snowstorm of 2015. I remember Sunday, February 15, vividly with anticipation as winter storm "Octavia" termed by the weather channel was on the march east. The snow on radar at one point spanned from Denver, Colorado to Roanoke, Virginia. That night and the next morning I binge watched the weather channel. During that night in fact as I was browsing I happened upon a forum called American Weather. The storm arrived Monday and the school had closed in advance of the storm due to President's Day. Around 10:30 A.M. the flakes started falling and they did not stop until late in the night. On Tuesday I awoke to a winter wonderland with just over a foot of snow on the ground. School remained closed for the rest of the month and multiple winter storms accompanied by arctic cold would follow in it's wake leaving a snow pack on the ground well into March. From there each year onward my interest in weather increased. Surprisingly I would remain a lurker on this site until this year.

Would this work? http://compressimage.toolur.com/

You and I both Tellico! I have wanted to punt this system for the past 3 days but I'm always on the edge of being in this...Cmon, NW trend!

I'm holding you up to that. Always that 1% chance.