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BlunderStorm

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  1. Image doesn't do it justice this was during a lull. Currently heavy snow falling. School is teetering on an early dismissal.
  2. Hey, good news the snow panned out. Snow flakes the size of small cotton balls are falling without any mix. Accumulation is starting to occur.
  3. That's encouraging news to read up here. Precip is closing in and will arrive in ~30 minutes. Whether it will be snow, sleet, or rain at the onset is yet to be seen. I measured a temperature of 30 when I left home at eight.
  4. After 3 A.M. I had to tap out for the night. I briefly woke up at 5 and only sleet had fell. Supposedly my family said they saw some snow falling but only enough to be considered a trace. While I was asleep the temperature spiked to 37 and is now 35. Up to 3706' on the mountains I see no snow.
  5. The temperature upticked to 32. Right now it is all virga. The radar looks better than any model right now so that's good.
  6. Currently sitting steady at 30. I wonder if John has seen anything? Oh and as for the radar that is definitely an ostrich.
  7. Today's low temperature was 14 with a heavy frost. Any grass that grew just got taken care of if yesterdays snow wasn't enough. EDIT: I went back and realized the station recorded a temperature of 12 before sunrise.
  8. Nothing of any observational or speculative value. I am really hoping this storm comes in low and the dry slot is overblown at the onset of the storm. As of now in order here it looks like snow showers early Saturday morning before it dries out and remains overcast for the rest of the morning and afternoon. Maybe I record a few tenths of an inch. This is followed by precipitation filling in again during the evening starting as a mix and transitioning to rain by midnight. Sunday is entirely characterized by steady temps in the mid 30's with rain showers and a lot of cursing the sky. (lol) Just as things begin to dry out early on Monday a few snow showers pass by with lingering flurries up until noon on Monday amounting to a dusting. Eh, I'll take it.
  9. A good dusting on the ground this morning. Certainly more than the few rogue flakes I was expecting. It was Enough to record it as 0.1 inches. The low temp was 18.
  10. 25F with Calm winds and a partly sunny sky. Not a white Christmas but certainly silver one. The ground is coated in a heavy layer of frost and snow is visible on the higher mountaintops over 3,000 ft.
  11. Already half an inch on the grass in Honaker. It's still 33 though and the pavement is having none of it. haha.
  12. It's fell fast to 35 and is now mixing. Sundown along with the continuation of the CAA should send it below freezing hopefully. Update: Wow, that was quick. As of 3:00 it is 33 and mostly snow. A little colder than modeled.
  13. 40F at 2100ft. It's going to be an uphill battle for snow here. At least the solar could not possibly be anymore favorable. Happy winter solstice! The exact time is 5:23 PM this year.
  14. Up here I could have a legit winter weather advisory event if the temps drop fast enough. I've been keeping quiet about it so maybe it won't jinx me.
  15. I only recorded a low of 16 this morning. Was there an inversion? I can believe the airport and Abingdon could have reached their low's respectively but I am very doubtful of the other two low temps. As for the earthquake, I have nothing to report except catching Z's. I wish I had felt it.
  16. Well I would like to know the conditions that resulted in the downslope occurring. In most storms this is not an issue. In order to do that I would have analyze the storm and look for, understand, and come up with conclusions with the data. Here is the incomplete possibly flawed understanding I have of what occurred. Winds at the surface were coming from the northeast while winds further up would have been coming from the south. Beartown Mountain (part of Clinch Mountain) at a height of 4688ft presents a barrier for the lower levels of the storm almost reaching the 850mb level. From my understand the mountain took the immense amount of moisture from the storm and channeled it up it's slope causing orographic lift. This resulted in a lot of condensation that released a ton of latent heat into the air. Because the air was coming from the south at the 850 level the winds continued beyond the mountain spilling into the Clinch river valley just in time for the storm's arrival up here. This layer of warm air however critical to the amount of snow accumulation would be shallow due to the stubborn cold NE winds beneath it at the surface and only partially melt the snow crystals resulting in graupel. This I believe is a good theory as to how this occurred however numerous storms have taken a similar track and not resulted in this. This I believe in part was caused by the exact circumstances of this event which I have no idea of knowing and also in part by the warmer than modeled air the storm brought up the valley. It may not have been able to change the precipitation type here on it's own this far up but it certainly could have helped the downslope effect. Also of note early into the event I faced my 1st less influential enemy virga. I don't have any precise answer for that but my reasoning is the winds from the NE brought with it dryer air near the surface that would keep the relative humidity tempered down. In total it took almost 3 hours of moistening the atmospheric column between seeing snow on radar over me to see light precip reaching the ground from 9 to midnight. Anyway after many hours as the storm pivoted winds changed direction and the downslope effect weakened resulting in me making a full transition to snow in the late morning and early afternoon before switching back to a mix near the end of the event at the warmest time of the day when it was 33. Even with all this chaos and factors working against me I still got some snow though. Wow.
  17. Yeah, it was really rough to watch. There is nothing more infuriating than looking out for a storm for 10 days only to be stuck in graupel for hours surrounded on all sides by heavy snow just a few miles away. With that said I at least I got some solace at the end. John, I know everyone has said it and including you yourself but to emphasize... It is just December 9th. We are still weeks away from peak climatology and weather patterns as far as I know are looking fairly favorable. We will get ours. For me I'm still weather hungry and already looking ahead. A bust won't put me down for long. The time without a 6 inch snow streak continues but it's days may be numbered.
  18. Thanks, looks like I can call today's snow accumulation early. In total 1.5 inches fell with some flurries/light snowfall both before and after the snow squalls. This brings the seasonal total just under 3 inches. Note: I'll post some images later when I get the time to. At some point I'll start an album and just send a link to it.
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