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BlunderStorm

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Everything posted by BlunderStorm

  1. BlunderStorm
    Snow beginning to stick, things have fully transitioned over to moderate snowfall with a current temperature of 33. And echoing Dan, in light of recent events I'd say this warrants a WWA at least for SWVA and the plateau.
  2. BlunderStorm
    About half and half now heading way up the valley. 36 Now. The mountains during a lull in the precip already looked white.
  3. BlunderStorm
    Now 38 in Honaker and steadily falling. The first flakes are beginning to mix in!
  4. BlunderStorm
    Currently 40 here with a steady rain. Won't be long now...
  5. BlunderStorm
    The NAM initialized a lot differently than what appears on radar. I know a dry level is causing plenty of virga but I'd say the NAM is underselling the precip.
  6. BlunderStorm
    Welcome!
  7. BlunderStorm
    The ICON believe it or not has shown signs of improvement Plateau and east albeit still very underwhelming. 2 runs ago it had only portions of the plateau and SWVA barely catching a dusting. I'm wondering if the cold air arrives sooner than MRX is expecting especially with what the NAM did.
  8. BlunderStorm
    Notably an encouraging uptick in totals from both the 3km and 12km NAM across the region. The first wave is certainly less dry.
  9. BlunderStorm
    I know one thing for sure, I don't envy the position of the mets in forecasting this potential snow. A lot is going to depend on how quickly cold air advection reaches the precipitation shield. (If there is much of one) I'd say this is a situation where being north and west may be just as helpful as being at a good elevation. On another note the RGEM fwiw sure is making a lot of fanfare for it's debut depicting this one! (hour 54 and still plenty left to go at the end of it's run)
  10. BlunderStorm
    I'd say for the most part the winter event was a bust but I can't complain. It was hard to really get a definitive total yesterday due to the melting mid-day and re-accumulation in the evening following. To approximate from what measurements I took in the morning, when I got home, and at midnight roughly speaking it would seem I had half an inch in the morning dwindling to something around 0.2" in the afternoon. Following that by midnight it had once again reached half an inch. So, 0.8"? and maybe an additional tenth of an inch from today. Altogether a little under an inch fell, though had the ground been colder it likely would have accumulated notably more.
  11. BlunderStorm
    Per Carver's suggestion I figured it wouldn't hurt to spark a little thread seeing as how It's looking to be an interesting Monday for communities in the higher elevations. Here's to a wonderful start to the meteorological winter season! As of Midnight I can currently record a trace with temps currently sitting at 37. Now for John's sake let's hope I didn't curse us...
  12. BlunderStorm
    ,Last minute before Midnight I suppose I'll do it!
  13. BlunderStorm
    Temperatures have been dropping steadily over the past two hours from 51 to 44. Glad to be back!
  14. BlunderStorm
    After looking back on the recorded low for today if my weather station is to be believed. (Kinda skeptical) It dropped to 8 this morning. Regarding additional snow beyond midnight, from what I measured in the morning I got an additional tenth of an inch. As of now I'd say I still have roughly an inch on the ground. (I live on a north-facing slope.)
  15. BlunderStorm
    As the final total for the 12th I recorded 2.2 inches with flurries still falling on the measurement tile. In the grass I measured as much as 4 inches in some places. Currently I'm sitting at 16 degrees with the possibility of reaching single digits for a low tonight. It was nice to see old man winter finally return. I'm glad most folks in our region got some (or a lot) of flakes as well. Hopefully this sets the trend for the upcoming winter.
  16. BlunderStorm
    And just like that I've been getting slammed with NW flow snow for the past hour under the radar. Needless to say no final measurements will be taken yet. Currently in a snowsquall.
  17. BlunderStorm
    After 5 in the morning I crashed and decided I would just wake'n see... and wow, I have to say this system did not disappoint. Currently sitting exactly at 1.8" on my level tile surface I use to scientifically measure. In the grass I got as much as 3"+. As of now there's still some nw flow action under the radar so another 0.2" to round the total out is completely possible.
  18. BlunderStorm
    Currently in the middle of it at 31F. 0.25" of snow already on the grass with it beginning to take hold on pavement.
  19. BlunderStorm
    Currently in a dry slot in southwest Virginia just as the temps flipped to favorable conditions for snow. (Currently Flurrying) 33F as of now. As per the radar though it looks like things are reloading for a good couple hours of solid snow.
  20. BlunderStorm
    Alright, guys it's great to be back after a busy day to enjoy this hobby we all share! Here's to an early start to the season! Unless anyone objects I see no problem submitting observations. Any more reports on the snow in West Tennessee? Currently sitting at 51 here with a drizzle.
  21. BlunderStorm
    To sum up my thoughts after yalls input:
  22. BlunderStorm
    We're seeing support for significant moisture behind the front across the board when it comes to models (at least for eastern areas). Can it all be wrong? Maybe, climo is a force to be reckoned with. Perhaps someone could provide some insight?
  23. BlunderStorm
    Well, once we get to around 12-18 hours before an event, that's when I switch over to watch and see mode by beginning to monitor the radar and reported temps. It helps to watch the models but at some point reality has to take precedence. It appears that time will soon arrive.
  24. BlunderStorm
    With significant post-frontal snow looking increasingly possible for the northern and mid tiers of the Tennessee Valley under current modeling, going forward I figured I'd start ourselves a little thread dedicated to it and the potential early start to the winter season!
  25. BlunderStorm
    Would it be a bad idea to create a forecast/nowcast/obs topic? A whiff is still very much on the table but...
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