WarmNose
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Everything posted by WarmNose
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Well, 00z GFS was a bad start. You can stick a fork in 2019 if that look tries to verify. Shut the ski slopes down too. Pitiful
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09’ redux? Sign me up!
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I’m going to go ahead and drop some chlorine in the pool skimmer tomorrow afternoon. Won’t be long and I want it to be ready. The birds are on the move and the pollen won’t be far behind.
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Now JB is using 1984 as a stratwarm analog..I still think we get a storm in the first 1/3rd of February but this is just tiresome. Time to abandon ship for a while
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I’m picking up what you’re putting down. It’s been one heathy rain event after another. I’m not so sure these types of juicy (Niño) waves will be able to produce around here. We definitely need something flat. Every rain event here in the past several months has been 2”+ storm rainfall amounts. Blocking will be crucial as well as stout HP’s dropping into the plains to keep our southern waves from exploding. Much like our early December event (except with BLOCKING). It’s never easy getting a big dog around here and I don’t think this year will be any different, but I am hopeful. Euro weeklies looked If I was in the MA it would be hard to contain my excitement
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Says the camp who blames man when a hurricane hits a teeny tiny little piece of the US. Super duper helpful
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I see the heat mongering has been tempered here in the past few weeks. I’ll just leave this here
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While It sucks being just south of 85 in the upstate, we do at least get a couple inches when places throughout NC get absolutely smoked. It could be worse. A little further to my south is Greenwood SC and their climo is probably as bad or worse than Miami Florida
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If you follow a winter weather forum, there’s a 100% chance you are a snow weenie deep down inside. 100%. People show heartache in their own ways. They’re projecting. There’s a lot of bitterness built up for years and years of disappointment. Missing out on the “big one”. Insanity, really. Having lived where they live for most, if not all, of their lives and every year they somehow think things will be different. Time marches on.
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It always makes me feel a little better when I’m situated north of the southernmost warned and advised areas. Wouldn’t be the first time the wheels have come off, though. (Im)Patiently waiting on that wedge to settle in
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Don’t tell Brick
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Take pictures of your snow. Congrats ahead of time. Many hours spent tracking this one. You deserve it
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I don’t even know how to get measurable snow anymore. Clippers?
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Reading through the forum, It’s easy to tell who isn’t getting snow tomorrow. Me being one of them
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We hold out hope, but those of us who can read models know what’s coming. You can’t wishcast 6” of snow on the ground. Especially in the south
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Me and Mack put our hearts and soul into this and we are about to get shut out. The wedge only works when you’ve got severe wx rolling in. Man I’m bitter. I mean I know Travelers Rest is a short drive but I like looking out the window at it. 8 straight nights staying up for the 00z Euro just to track a dud but it’s my own damn fault. It was a dud from the start. Low track over Jacksonville and we still rain. It’s hard to accept. Even in early December
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There’s your warning shot right there
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Euro still giving me 10” right before go time. It’s so hard not to get suckered in. I know better. My name is WarmNose and I’m a glutton for punishment
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Are we allowed to post the WRF in here? Asking for a friend
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I do agree these are two are not connected. I will also tell you that I’ve lived here my whole life and the two ARE most certainly connected. It’s just reaffirming my understanding of where these precip boundaries are. Mother nature is keeping me humble and keeping my expectations at bay. Which I appreciate
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I think the transition boundaries are already setting up. I heard snow in Pickens earlier. I was just on Woodruff road and it was sleeting. I am now back in the Golden Strip and it’s raining. The upper atmosphere has spoken.
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I can’t wait to waste the first 2.25” of precip to rain. Backend freezing drizzle will suffice I guess. At least Landrum is a short drive
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Pretty bad bad when the Euro gives you 13” but you know there’s 0% chance of that coming to fruition. Euro tries to set the snow/slop/rain transition line further south than history says it will be in Greenville county. What do you think Grit? I mean maybe I’m splitting hairs but it’s arguably the best global model right here close to game time and that transition line is the difference between 6+” and a mainly IP/zr event
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Steady as she goes 00z December 7 18z November 29
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Brick still thinks he’s getting 6”. Jesus H
