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WarmNose

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Everything posted by WarmNose

  1. Wintry mix being reported in Spartanburg..foreshadowing for an over performer this weekend? Hmm
  2. Small hint at a warm nose on the SC GA border then it does something funny as you get up into east central NC
  3. NAM looks to be ramping up a little sooner on this run. Looks juicy. Someone is about to get hammered
  4. Hoping this doesn't break any posting rules. Looks like Joe B is riding the NAM..
  5. Exactly my thoughts. I85 and points north/west unless we get lucky and somehow don't have to fight rain and 45 degree temperatures at the onset of precipitation
  6. Euro looks great imo. It's always a huge plus when the Euro jumps on board with wintry precip. And I hope Lookout is right about the warm nose being modeled too strong
  7. That LP in 87' looks really close to the SC coast. Curious as to how that produced a snow event for areas south and east of I85? Stronger cold air source west of the Apps? Thanks Grit
  8. Any veterans on here have examples of winter storms where cold air came from west of the Apps where a warm nose wasn't an issue? Thanks
  9. That was my all time favorite winter storm. Several hours of 28 degree cotton balls followed by .25 inch of sleet and freezing rain
  10. Without CAD we are set up for failure every time. If our cold air source is west of the apps, it's a no go
  11. CMC has the warm nose eating right into the southern Greenville county screw zone Climo wins again
  12. This storm is starting to look like a "Buncombe County Schools: Closed" special "Greenville County Schools: 2 hour delay"
  13. If I'm not mistaken It has a lot to do with the topography. As the low spins it's hard to get cold air in fast enough when the cold air source is coming from the north and western side of the apps as opposed to an eastern cold air source damming event
  14. NAM looks atrocious. Less amped system with mostly rain. Wouldn't a less amped system equal more blue than green?
  15. If I remember correctly, last year before our January event the GFS sniffed out our warm nose 24-48 hours in advance. It showed it on the SC GA border sneaking up into the southern part of upstate SC. Edit: it could have been the NAM I don't remember
  16. Didn't catch it, but I'm sure he went with the old "mainly for the mountains of North Carolina" weather statement
  17. I've seen this time and time again. Climo says anywhere north and west of I85 have a chance to see flakes fly. South and east, well, you know the drill. Especially in December. I mean come on, it's a struggle even in mid January.
  18. If I can get a couple splotches of blue on my local radar loop I'll call it a winter. Even if it's just virga
  19. Temps won't be an issue. It will make its own cold air Someone mentioned a Lee side trough? I can remember 7'ish years ago a Lee trough set up here in the upstate and we must have raked in 4-5 inches with temps hovering around 40 degrees. It was ridiculous
  20. Wicked lightning, heavy rain and a few rumbles of thunder here in Simpsonville. This Winter has been litty!! Mountain real estate just doubled. RIP snow and cold. Al Gore was right!
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