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WarmNose

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Everything posted by WarmNose

  1. Where can I find a map of the current 925mb bubble? Link? Thanks
  2. GSP said the HRRR was doing well with now casting but didn't it show rain in San Antaonio while it was ripping fatties? I'm confused. this thing just might overperform for some and if not, well, I'd love to get NAM'd one more time today before I go to bed
  3. Hope so. This puts me in the game. Need this storm to outperform climo by 15 miles
  4. January CJ said 4-6 with locally higher amounts. We got a backend dusting
  5. GFS has become progressively more amp'd and has been pushing the precip shield further inland through the past couple of days but has stayed true with it's "no snow for you" line
  6. GFS has to be right. Cold air source filtering down the west side of the Apps is what's putting some areas in the Deep South in play and leaving the areas to the north and east with a cold rain. GFS stuck to its guns. I don't like it but I respect it
  7. If the GFS verifies I'm hitting up the Indian casino this weekend
  8. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017120719&fh=23&xpos=7&ypos=0
  9. HRR looks rainy for my area through hr 17 that warm nose in NE GA and Upstate SC is just atrocious
  10. Hug the bullseye models. They can't always be wrong can they? i haven't had a chance to look at models but from what I'm hearing I'm liking the colder trends. Maybe the cold air is more robust than the January storm and we don't have to fight 33 degree rain for the entirety of the event
  11. That looks amazing. I just don't know where the cold air is coming from for those outside of the higher elevations east of the mountains. Hope I'm wrong
  12. I'm all in on the Euro. Several hours of mood flakes with possible heavy bursts. Euro still has "accumulating " snow well to my south and east. I can still afford a small tick NW and get in on the wet flake action(per Euro). I'm hopeful rates will overcome to kick this winter off right.
  13. Blackbirds are going crazy here in the upstate today. I believe they also got NAM'd
  14. Never thought I'd see the day LaGrange got 4" and I was left with mood rain
  15. Imo It looks like the NAM caved to the GFS. The GFS has had that snow zone in LaGrange for a couple of days now with everyone else getting zilch. That's exactly what the last NAM run looks like
  16. Chris Justice is about to delve into what's on the way here in the upstate. Whatever he says here in the next 5 minutes is set in stone. Snow or no snow, it all hinges on what Chris Justice says
  17. GFS still a crappy outlier. Idk how any Met could use the GFS to blend any sort of forecast right now
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