AMZ8990
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Everything posted by AMZ8990
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Memphis Int'l Airport officially reached 79° before the rain hit yesterday, tying the ALL-TIME January high temperature record, last set in 2002. It also breaks the daily record by 3°. And the next day snow is rolling through Memphis with temps in the low 30’s. Just short of a 50 degree swing in 24 hours, really Impressive stuff.
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The wind chills on the back side of this system are pretty stout as you can tell by the map posted above. -
Fayetteville, Arkansas reporting anywhere from a dusting up to an inch around the city.
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The Bands setting up in Arkansas look decent honestly, moving a tad slower than anticipated as well. We will see how they do as they move across the Mississippi River though, as that’s were stuff usually falls apart for us in west Tn.
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Glad to see you posting, Kasper!
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Should have snow falling in west Tennessee around 10am-11am this morning. I’ll let you guys know how it performs on the west side of the state once it starts. Hope everyone can score a nice Snow today/tonight.
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Seems like a good consensus among models right now for us to get possibly our coldest air of the year coming into play around the 7th/8th of January. Single digit lows across the state on the CMC for Saturday the 8th. Definitely a strong signal for cold showing up
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I’m sorry to hear about all that man, that is very unfortunate. You and yours are in my prayers. Im Glad the winter weather threats are giving you some much needed peace of mind. Hope your little one continues to grow and get stronger by the day.
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Will have to keep an eye on that timeframe for sure. I’ve been lucky at work and haven’t had to have my guys put covers on the greens yet this year. It’s looking like we may have to at some point in January though for sure. The Ultra Dwarf Championship Bermuda grass greens do not like temperatures below 32 degrees for extended periods so it’s a big predicament for folks in the turf/golf industry
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I’m game
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Lots of rain and some wind but that was about it at the Golf course in Collierville. Rain was really intense though for about 30 minutes, flash food intense! Other than that no thunder or lighting to report from my end of the state. Very powerful little system though
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Glad to see you posting, Flash! Hope you and the family are doing well.
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That’s the kind of stuff I dream about, lol. I’m about 35 miles southwest of that 11.6. Looks like I’d be in the sweet spot. If I got a foot of snow me and my dogs would be running around the neighborhood looking like Harrison Ford in “The Call of the wild”..... lmao
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On a side note- The fog this morning is intense on the west side of the state today. Visibility will definitely be an issue for pilots heading out of Memphis today
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Yeah the GFS at 12z wants to start the month of January At AN temps. Then around the 3rd to 4th the warmth starts to push out and cold air takes its place. Runs not finished yet, will see what happens between 270-360. Biggest takeaway I can see is that models seem to agree we will have some cold air to work with in January.
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Brutal cold if that verifies. Most of the country is at or below freezing at the end of that run. January is starting to look more interesting by the day. Merry Christmas to everyone, hope you and your families have a blessed holiday season. @jaxjagman praying for your speedy recovery my friend.
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If you guys have time, go to weather.gov and check out the winter storm warnings on the US map that’s on the homepage. The entire west coast from Northern California all the way up to south Washington state is under a winter storm warning. It’s crazy to see how many areas could see measurable snow between now and Monday out that way. Just a massively wide swath of winter weather.
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That’s some downright frigid air over central Canada late in that run.
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The current La Niña is expected to persist until late summer or early autumn 2022. However, there are reasons to expect that this La Niña will not be as disruptive as the exceptionally strong event of 2010-12, including the fact that the 2010-12 La Niña coincided with a negative phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole.
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MJO forecast this morning looks like Phase 7 for a while to me. A few solutions take it into phase 8 but the overwhelming majority keep in in phase 7.
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January discussion for all things winter in the Tennessee Valley Sub-forum. When we have a likely event 2-3 days out we can create an individual thread for said storm. It helps for record keeping purposes as a lot us like to look back on old threads to learn, etc. Merry Christmas to all as well, I hope everyone has a great holiday.
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Nice to see modeling stay consistent with a southern storm around the 3-5th of January. Been showing up on modeling for 2-3 days now. Definitely something to keep an eye on going forward. Also- If it makes anyone feel better , Chicago is about to set a record for longest amount of time between measurable snow events. There around 215 days straight without a trace or more of snow. I only say this to show how hard it’s been to get snow the past year in areas that normally receive a lot of snow yearly.
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Plenty of cold air in our source regions as well. Pretty drastic cold front pushes through New Years Day.
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Good stuff, Carver. Definitely looks like we could have a shot at something in the beginning of January. long way off but there are definitely signs that have me optimistic.
