Tarheel17
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Everything posted by Tarheel17
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588 Ridge on the 500 MB chart showing up next week. Hope that isn't a permanent feature this summer, but we all know how this is going to go.
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Long range GFS has Bermuda High setting up with a return of 60+ for lows and 80+ for highs. In mid-April. Of course this is going to verify perfectly after nothing else did this winter.
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So this means the rubber-band will rebound and we will have a significantly below average summer temps, right?
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At this point I'm just hoping we drop below freezing again for several nights in a row. Long range models not looking great, bob.
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Good look on the Euro, but 200+ hours away.
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Never should have moved from Chapel Hill....
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Wasn't wrong for Charlotte unfortunately. Point taken overall, though.
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Any room in here? Seems the western half of the Triangle has cashed in on a few events recently. Charlotte unfortunately remains a battle-line. Maybe I shouldn't have moved lol
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And here comes some last minute cliff jumping when it is nowcasting time.
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At least I have family I can visit in Michigan if this completely busts. I definitely feel for anyone entirely born and raised down this way.
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Sigh, getting the sinking feeling in the pit of my stomach I last had in Jan 2017 back near RDU.
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Ah, I see. I grew up as a kid in Michigan. Imagine how long of a fetch we could get going from Lake Michigan to Lake Norman for some lake effect.
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Will the urban heat island effect cause more convective feedback over Charlotte?
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Verbatim a warm nose sticks right up 77 into Charlotte.
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Wouldn't be surprised if the FV3 comes in a little colder since it's been trending that way vs. the GFS. This will be a good test to see if we truly have an improved model.
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Less than 9 days out, with seasonable lows showing up on the new GFS. Euro and CMC show tropical influence but also show a sharp cool-down in the same timeframe (8-10 days). Meanwhile I want to reel this one in from la-la land.
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I'm just going to choose to believe the FV3-GFS. Seems a little closer to the Euro through 10 days. Edit: 12z, not 18z.
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12z Euro seems to put the hold on fall as well. Tomorrow average lows are supposed to start to be in the 50's for Charlotte. We'll get there eventually.
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Fall is my favorite season. Looks like we don't get one until October this year.
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If the 06z gfs is accurate we will be searching for fall for a very long time
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Once the Euro goes that far out on the free maps I expect it to disappear. In other news I have started seeing some slight color change on some trees while out on my runs. Also today is the first day with a sunrise after 7 am. The temps may not look like it but I am starting to feel like it is fall.
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Starting to see multiple chances in the very long run (>300 hours) in the GFS for a cooldown of some sort. Obviously not buying a single one of them, but it's at least an improvement and a sign that fall will eventually arrive.
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I can come to terms with the warmth, but having dew points in the 60s in the middle of February is worse than a 33 degree rain for me.
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Just hoping for an inch and then I'm sure spring will be right around the corner.
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Truly demoralizing. Always time for fab february?
