STILL N OF PIKE

I think in this situ with the confluence over Maine the cut off is going to be exceptional for someone near Merrimack valley and I wonder if models will handle that sharpness well that being said I’m more commenting than neurotic about it this time bc I can be in Bedford Mass as well lol and likely will be anyway

I also think we have had an unusual number of very challenging forecast setups the last 2 years . Thermals have been a issue that either effected P type and or ratios for most every system in SNE and that is in addition to the other challenges of track , kickers , phasing etc

I think it’s mid levels or bust for most outside elevations

I gotta peel myself away from these models geezus I need help , it’s still a couple days away Next I’ll be canceling and moving around personal training clients to coincide with the euro and other model runs

I didn’t call for a WCB induced dry slot Merrimack valley dry air drain from Maine led to the sharp cutoff that coincided with N extent also hurt ability for it to snow hard enough to stick and cool like it did to the south we know the airmass is not good , but it’s not better in to the south where more snow fell

Incorrect , huge QPF cutoff north of Lowell /LWM about .35 in Derry NH .55 in Meth and like 1.1 in Lowell first several hours rains

I did in text CT torches as well

Reggie clown lookin like ASH to Ray double Tobin splash

Ya the 3km ends Sunday eve So it’s sorta useless (more than usual ) ?

What year was that system

I’d like to know as well

Nam kuchie went large for many

Nammy looks like it crosses very close to BM

in my experience models seem to usually overdue the extremely meridinol solutions , as I’m usually focused on the east side where the energy dives south , i think I recall these more prevalent in the 5-8 day range and than they become less powerful or “southward diving” or as we get inside 5 days . I wish I could articulate this better Is there anything to look for that usually coincides with these actually becoming that meridonal, regardless of wether it tracks perfectly for us

Nammy

All media Hype/ twist for emotional response / attention = ratings So there is a flood of BS / and if you are not manipulating or twisting some headline to induce a added emotional response (and higher ratings) that is probably seen as lost potential revenue / clicks etc and add in on top of that the politicalization of the day creeping into everything I don’t think folks realize the layers of impact this has on ability and desire to critical think , reason , have a respectful convo and even figure out or trust what ..is goin on ha

I think SW CT has been boned much worse than NE mass as a % of climo goes on a five year basis

I’d swing by , drug you and throw you in the Corsica as i head NW into monads or to lake Winni.

Cranmore is white We await the 12z nam…

33.5 in Nashua . Busted cold thou doesn’t seem like a win lol

On Mt wash auto road temp profile . Coolest layer is 2500’ , and then it pops to 32.4 at 5300’ and then cools again at summit

Snowing on cranmore mtn. Cam

Snowing at wildcat . But 32F at 2k in late January

Do you have the kuchie sir for the coastal plain

WPC best 4” probs are still over Catskills , berks and N orh county and made a modest (20 mile or so shift north ) into S Monads as well As is the case with 95% of our systems last two winters , elevation and being away from coast is favored and ratios will be dicey to determine for CP