STILL N OF PIKE

A whole lotta meh as we look into the crystal ball

24 and holiday flakes . Inch last nite . Spruce peak ...long live winter

All this and not even much in the ways of model interpretation to argue or storms to disagree on . Should only get better .

Nothing like a good Screamer

Looks solid for nne resorts

The Canadian ? Is a trash model ...if the others are on board fine but are they ?

I would think any mountains planning to open in November that aren’t blowing snow right now need to get their shiat together

Fun rain with no high pressure to speak of , maybe up and in elevations would do ok . of course the chances it looks like this anyway are slim

We should probably consider some sort of sacrifice to old man winter this year . Is Wiz going ..

Dry weekend . We take

Congrats

Let’s warm it up

It’s an episode of Jerry springer . Predictable as I said yesterday

I don’t think he really cares that much -I mean it’s almost like shooting fish in a barrel - just constantly getting emotion out or folks and he doesn’t even have to try that that hard . Last year he was on a roll given how almost every 10-15 day prog warmed up as we got inside 7 days and he just went on parade weekly Saying how the warm anomaly’s would win out and how this And that 10-15 day prog was not Gonna verify and In reality **we were in a Very consistent pattern The models struggled with and usually corrected in the same direction over and over as SW heights were modeled to warm at day 10-15 out west and vice versa usually for SNE ** . I had never seen such a pattern where models were generally correcting one way for such a long period and that is not going to happen This year in all likelihood ** He sniffs out and preys on snow (or lack there of) fears and usually 90% of responses to him are due to irritation with the amount of snow folks have seen or are concerned will see . If people are bothered by December looking hostile he will get rolling lol

This will be well received lol If December blows its kinda like a football team hoping to go to the playoffs and losing the first Two games out of 17

should be a fun ride This winter , always is in here wether we are getting skunked , crushing it or anywhere in between . The posts from everyone are almost predictable now .

The Eurasian cover feels like it’s up there with early falling acorns and fatter squirrels predicting winter

The 700$ *average monthly car Payment for last 2 years of all new cars sold is asinine. We are not talking high end market , we are talking average . There are many people who spend money they don’t have like drunken sailors . If you got the money this doesn’t apply .

Weather is fairly boring for next week ++ so i just wanted to chime in on something related more to “economics “ In particular the recent rapid rise in credit card and auto loan delinquencies and how it should not be a surprise and why this should continue to increase and why uses car Prices will be coming down significantly (large supply of repos ) although if your not a cash buyer the very high auto loan rates (Even for prime borrowers will keep affordability on the low side ) The Fed Reserve of NY posts credit card and auto loan delinquencies as one the metrics they follow to measure the health of the “American consumer”. The recent data (as of Q2 2023 shows a delinquency rate In auto loans of 7.3%) up from 5.2% same time last year . The Delinquency rate is up for Both subprime and prime borrowers . *One of the reason This data is also Anticipated to stay high and rise is not just the persistence of high prices (High inflation from 2022 and 2023) But also the moratorium on student loans that just ended after 3 years . Generally people will pay their shelter costs first followed by phone and thirdly their auto loan and or credit cards , they also tend to go out to eat less as they are forced to cut spending . As the velocity of money slows (people buy and shop / go out less ) the economy tends to slow down (usually unemployment increases *follow* a rise in loan delinquencies with a little lag . Unemployment currently is historically very low . Adding to the pressure on auto loan Payments were the extremely rapid rise in new car monthly payments during the pandemic as supply was restricted and credit was cheap , tons of people bought cars they could not afford at extremely elevated prices . The average Payment is 729$ a month and 17.9% pay over 1000$/month . There is a certain segment of US population that continue to due exceptionally well , but the lower to middle classes who had moratoriums on student loans for 3 years , stimulant payments, juiced up unemployment levels and generally felt financially more secure prior to 2022 and 2023 elevated prices from a high period of inflation is now coming to terms and walking away from their car Payments and defaulting on credit cards (as interest rates on those have risen to > 20%!!) I guess the bright side I would say is if you are patient and have cash there are going to be falling prices for used cars over the next year (and potentially rapidly ) As repos climb very high (based on historic comparisons) and their is the chance they really go “wild”. If you are a car savvy person there may be some very good opportunities and also The loan delinquencies data also can be a canary in the coal mine for slowing consumer spending and the subsequent slowing of monetary velocity and a lagged rise in unemployment.

It seems to me that there is going to be a increasing chance of ratters (relative to normal ) where the degrees of Gradual warming Had less wiggle room to work with to begin (especially coast line) that could be completely off but that is my general guess I wound also guess there will be greater chances to break monthly snowfall records across areas Of SNE more extremes I could be wrong

Boston snowfall , who has over , who has under . Line set @ 48”

As families check into spruce peak and are told skiing is on hold till they can coax a man with a reindeer sweater out of the runny mashed taters At the base . He Keeps repeating “we just need a cold front and a moose fart “

Ski resorts praying their man made snow lasts to t-giving opening day or more likely some will just push back opening day (like the ones known to underpay and have staff issues...vail cough resorts

I will never earn my turns , unless a milf is leading me up the mtn

The 8-14 day CPC temp outlook doesn’t have a slightly below normal area (or colder) in all 50 states. I mean Geezus