STILL N OF PIKE
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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE
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I emailed a Met buddy of mine, he shall remain anonymous...I’ll refer to him as “Harv” to ask what time is best for tanning napes
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February has ability to put up a fat positive number
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What is the cape at year to date?
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If mid Feb nao blocking doesn’t work out ...this thread will really gain steam
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We wait
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Ya that’s the gut punch we be punting first 10 days in Feb. Saw this coming couple days ago and was waiting for it to sink in w the board . So mid Feb may rock, or it may be ok, or it may blow , nobody knows at this point really . Costs zero to be optimistic , and it feels good ...but that doesn’t mean it’s right when it comes to weather .
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I’m praying for some blocking And for the long range to be right once this winter. We need to shake up the Nina circulation and get some blocking or where gonna be struggling to see a decent coastal
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Speak of the devil
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I would not endorse canceling anything I’m simply endorsing your thoughts that when I see a -NAO of significance inside day 5 I will believe it .
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Wait , so for the record You are falling for the day 10 looks great crap ? Or will it be the step down to its “looks good still”, and then finally “it looks fine , we’ll have our chances “ your waiving 3 caution flags at any -NAO by Feb 10’th forming , I know this I’m on record for the 12-15’th on has some promise, we will know by the 7’th if it’s empty promises or not
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It shall fail again . Even lucy is embarrassed how many times Charlie Brown keeps falling for it. maybe by the 12-15’th of Feb
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It’s gonna park itself over litchfield hills and Berks “general vicinity “ as well as C/N VT For a while this has a very nice signature for Western areas for days and days
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You look good for 5”+ MPM 6-8
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I am interested to see how pronounced the “7/10 “split is (ORH-ASH-LWM-KBED) between W SNE (river west) and C NH SW / Central Maine areas of high end advisory/warning snows the gfs has had this for I dunno 10 runs in a row
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You are in a good spot
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Hasn’t been modeled that long , wouldn’t be surprised either way. looks like second week of February there will be some changes in tropical forcing that could bring about a change from this persistent Nina like circulation, ...I give blocking a “50/50” shot around the 13-15’th ...which is more likely then I’ve bought into this year but I’m not going higher than that at this time frame for this time till this is inside 7 days
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Oh boy oh boy oh boy well see if this falls apart
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Lol 1180’
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Close em for a bit
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Agreed that the period may become favorable after the 12-14’th. We shall see. Coin toss . Which is better odds than I’d have given the other faux changes modeled this year .
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I truly don’t want futility . That’s a given. I want snow and i def want some coastals that I can take a weekend day for . Im heading up to Spruce lodge next weekend w a lady friend and I’m praying we get snowed in
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I wish I could move you to SNE and see how you adjust With a pattern this active nobody anticipates futility , at least I don’t beleive they do. They want it as a means of coping but it’s certainly not likely. I would love a epic period that gives Boston 80”. It’s just not happening .
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No WWA’s flying for 495 ? stay safe folks box 1pm disco mentions possible expansion of WAA for Tolland county and Far Ne Mass.
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Lol call it a hunch you gusting to 65mph, no !There ...see that was easy
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I’d go w ummm Brian
