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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. Found it interesting that the WPC 2” probabilities issued at 3am show highest shot (70%) of 2 inches tracing the entire 495 corridor around Boston and bullseye (80%) greater Boston S shore to N shore this to me...means E Ma even NE mass inside 495 still see a system ...
  2. Westerly to UUU over to EWB and south side of Plymouth May still see quite the band albeit transient
  3. For about the 100’th time look this year, look at the flow at H5 ...Zoooonalllllllll W-E flow small (tiny) perturbations in the flow Models have struggled with this all year unless we had a amped system cutting anywhere from Madison to Detroit . feels to me like the emperor is wearing no clothes if me and John are the only ones talking about this all year having an influence . Very hard to see a real east coast cyclone with this and if we did see something amp it would most likely cut west the southern (weaker) sliders will not close off in mid levels and models have kept correcting to a more progressive trend on the run up to them . Does that have to happen , no. Is it likely ...yes. John could probably word this better but the primarily zonal fast flow has not changed. Enough .Moisture loaded SWFE w an arctic high and a primary going to DET have been working decently but bet on more bad luck Monday with this low going SE and weaker
  4. Not really that shocking the trajectory of this thing and lack of gaining latitude was always a red flag
  5. The issue was nobody was confident w an open weak short wave that they would actually close. This wasn’t a bowling ball. You also factor in that if they don’t close it’s basically a whiff outside SE mass
  6. should not be surprised to see euro keep trending SE to this is a weaker 3-5 deal S of pike . Progressive trends FTW or in other words beware more bad luck
  7. Thru 6z Nam looks more disjointed with that east convective blob taking over
  8. This is essentially a now cast. Would be nice to see something other than gfs with mid level consistently run to run.
  9. What did you do there? the ole Tolland tapity Tap tap in restroom. You tried to claim you had wrestless leg
  10. We really need that Caitlyn Jenner look with the vortmax , in addition that has a better mid level look so 6” snows become possible much further NW
  11. No mid levels no magic and no warning outside se ct ri se ma (and low end at that ). What a nice surprise if this some how closed em near L.I
  12. Always want the gfs on your side in a coastal lol kidding aside
  13. How saturated is the DGZ...what’s snow growth looking like
  14. James posts what sounds like inner self talk even a Gulf Stream reference
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