For about the 100’th time look this year, look at the flow at H5 ...Zoooonalllllllll
W-E flow small (tiny) perturbations in the flow
Models have struggled with this all year unless we had a amped system cutting anywhere from Madison to Detroit .
feels to me like the emperor is wearing no clothes if me and John are the only ones talking about this all year having an influence . Very hard to see a real east coast cyclone with this and if we did see something amp it would most likely cut west
the southern (weaker) sliders will not close off in mid levels and models have kept correcting to a more progressive trend on the run up to them . Does that have to happen , no. Is it likely ...yes.
John could probably word this better but the primarily zonal fast flow has not changed. Enough .Moisture loaded SWFE w an arctic high and a primary going to DET have been working decently but bet on more bad luck Monday with this low going SE and weaker