STILL N OF PIKE

Today is def more of a MEH day with regard to heat/heat index outside of SE mass

Taking a nice brisk walk around Nashua . Nice breeze today . Definitely not as hot “feeling “ as yesterday . Feels like S fl in Early October . 94/71

I see 97 at best

19c at last Mesoscale Analysis at 1pm 20c Boston to BDL 22 c outer cape and islands

Merrimack valley is underperforming today 93-94’s 19c 850’s decent wind direction sunshine

I posted “contrarian indicator “ right after his post . Worked wonderfully lol

I’d go w NWS as well

29c at 925 from BVY mass WSW to NW Ct border at 21z on today’s 12z gfs. That’s a nudge up

I would love a couple stations to crack 100 now . Not out of the woods at all

I was slightly O.T. And not referring to 100 degree calls really at all . Seems iceberg really thought the official NWS forecast busted and maybe it did for his area and Will was referring to the abundance of social media hoopla of 100 is coming , 100 is coming obviously , for E mass the forecast was pretty damn good based on the high temps dentrite listed and the high dew points . (That was one path we actually discussed...higher dews are possible and this would tick down max temp ) The media sensationalism is rampant but tends to effect the weather “sheeple” for lack of a better term . i was talking about this particular forum and group of folks (maybe its just me ) that wishes and has a thirst for knowledge of the changing percentages and better discussion of not the “forecast” but options the forecast could take especially when said details become clearer as we approach the “event” . Especially in winter for the reasons in my last post but it was more something I wanted to get off my chest

With regard to info forecasts and much more discussion of the particular and sometimes extreme different scenarios possible On forecasts and much more detail discussion on how the odds for different scenarios are changing as we close in on the day of a weather event we could do better On This board. The general public is generally 2 stupid and ignorant and uninterested in hearing or accurately processing that kind of forecast . its like this , we need a better breakdown of the options the weather (forecast) could take , and a running discourse on how options are becoming more or less likely as we get inside the 24-36 hour window when the details and probability of such options can be fine tuned . A lot of us ..We are stat guys, percentage guys . what bugs me is 24-36 hours out from a system the minor model changes which begin to fine tune the different “paths” or risks or callem’ “caution flags” could be much more discussed. There is 100% a psychological component to this bc in winter people only talk about said changes when it turns snowier/ more bullish on the immediate lead up, not on the opposite. There’s also an aspect of wanting to keep things “AWT”. i really enjoy how laid back this subforum is and it Mets will sort of discuss a better breakdown of what we’re lookin for for different scenarios to play out when asked directly (like ORH wxman) , just seems like could be better details in general discussion of the options . John seems to add this most (in general discussion) thou seems more often to play devils advocate (not complaining)

It does. cooler at ORH than MPV lol

Ya right NOW seems nothing unusual given MHT, BED, OWD at 8 A.M. I saw 87 on w.u with 3 sites within 5 miles at 86 ORH and BOS usually both stick out to me on plots but maybe they are off this year, like Boire Apt has a dewpoint issue as well.

The contrarian indicator

What u saying

Just brutal dude . Many places in nice towns have no air. You live on third floor , no air. 95/77 out ...it ain’t ok

Good points John and Friday was no peach either. Elderly, young children, and very dehydrated and Overweight folks without A\C especially in those brick buildings on upper floors are suffering and likely laying on any tile w ice bags or eating popsicles to stay cool I would take a long cool shower perhaps multiple...in that situ or find a hose

Ain’t cooling down in those old brick buildings

It’s aint cooling in the evening much lol

It’s hard enough for ORH in SNE , are you at like 1100’

EWB is 92/78

I beleive ocean st wx and dentrire are questioning it so I would trust their view the Ri/Se mass dews in upper 70’are real

Nashua is reporting 77 dew at airport

Who doubted a home station would hit 80 BDL is 73

Seems like it was a step above meh further south like 96/97 over 75