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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. STILL N OF PIKE
    And 18z gfs moves toward euro
  2. STILL N OF PIKE
    Or south
  3. STILL N OF PIKE
    Euro was furthest south last nite and now it goes few hundred miles further S - for Thursday - Friday . Close to Bermuda lol then north near us by Saturday lol leading the way or on crack
  4. STILL N OF PIKE
    Exactly fetch plus duration and gale winds equals wow. I recall looking at the forecast fetch on Sandy of gale winds leading up to storm and knew that would be very memorable regardless the classification . This is no Sandly! (Not saying that in the least) just that fetch is pretty much the most underrated variable in wave heights followed by duration
  5. STILL N OF PIKE
    I would say right now I’d lean cloudy and breezy /windy along coast this week w aperiod of rain Thursday and again Friday possible ..especially east We’ll see which way the ukie/gfs/euro lean next 36 0z euro crushes beaches from ocean city to NJ GFS NJ/SNE
  6. STILL N OF PIKE
    Oz gfs says if this was winter... prints out 5-6” over E MA from this event alone in a 3 plus day nor-Easter say bye bye to folliage (leaves ) we may start to believe we will see a couple inches unless this thing corrects south next 48 hours 0z Ukie has This a touch stronger and one heck of a fetch pointed at N NJ and east facing SNE beaches gale winds over day’s over hundreds of miles equals beach issues
  7. STILL N OF PIKE
    We Bigfoot
  8. STILL N OF PIKE
    Long duration ocean storm next week looks like best shot of precipitation E and se Sne looks like some coastal flooding issues given the long E /ENE fetch I see on some models east of SNE for about 3 days Appears to be sneaking in a bit closer to the SNE coast last 24 of modeling so bears watching
  9. STILL N OF PIKE
    We pray every day there is zero percent I would not travel to an area from Catskills to N NH to experience that heck I would even stay at Snowshoe ... where else can u find a village at 4800’ ..on this upside down mountain. I imagine in the right circumstances snowshoe village sees unbelievable blizzards being at Nearly 5k! I
  10. STILL N OF PIKE
    When there is anomalous blocking on multiple models at long ranges that is when I would certainly weigh LR depictions of a significant east coast phasing event . Lot more wiggle room with regard to not needing perfect short wave time w an anomalous block the AO ensembles are forecast to go strongly negative (-2/-3)by the 15’th ..thou we shall see how Stable that is next few days and the PNA has more of a consensus on a rise from -2 to 1 in that period
  11. STILL N OF PIKE
    FMB season buddy
  12. STILL N OF PIKE
    Elevations are chilling today Savoy mass 45
  13. STILL N OF PIKE
    Moving on ...Snow ! 55 and a quintessential seasonably cool fall day leaves falling . Nice day for a walk if you have a few minutes
  14. STILL N OF PIKE
    James you have the knowledge and I’m guessing plenty of info at your hands. All you have to do is forecast what your intelligence says is most likely not ever letting what you want change that .
  15. STILL N OF PIKE
    It was hoping the line for Breakfast atPeaches was looong Folliage at Bretton Woods and By the auto road in Pinkham north was beautiful and a different world than Jackson or Lower Crawford Notch area
  16. STILL N OF PIKE
    52 We hoodie
  17. STILL N OF PIKE
    His point is the ceiling is significantly lowered on those events in fast flow (large DM gradient) Hoping this is a bunch of Balderdash Coastal will say “we’re fine” but I’m looking for something a little more in depth
  18. STILL N OF PIKE
    57 Almost hoodie time
  19. STILL N OF PIKE
    Nashua didn’t make it above 73 in this two day torch upper 90’s in BWI/DC ...wowwww
  20. STILL N OF PIKE
    Bit North of Jackson NH looked very comparable at elevation above 1200’ + kanc was not popping moist Washington-Pinkham botch def was N Conway not much
  21. STILL N OF PIKE
    Comfy 70 feels good
  22. STILL N OF PIKE
    That could work . The great north woods is another option but they are prolly past peak next week. But plenty of moose !
  23. STILL N OF PIKE
    Cell traveled North from Long Island to BDL. Cool
  24. STILL N OF PIKE
    Nice storms riding ESE North of Saranac Lake
  25. STILL N OF PIKE
    That would of been James biggest event last season
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