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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. We have had anomalous snows in late October and early April over the last generation, one of these years the mid November period is gonna see a Major snow storm over the northeast or at least SNE (18”>) imo . My guess is the last 125 years of records are a relatively anomaly (lack of big storms in November) is it that hard in ORH (not Boston) to see a foot of snow in mid November with a cold high and BM cyclogenesis ???
  2. I would forecast 20-25% more than what you are calling for every time . ..that sort of is a compliment bc you are dead nuts accurate but have a bias that joe earn your turns is gonna climb your mountain measure 7” when you called for 9” and then never ski Stowe again. Edit add 20% in synoptic events 30% in upslope snows and I believe currently 3k nam is on its own wish btv wrf didn’t stop working yesterday
  3. What stopped this low from actually developing on most models now, the precip is also out of here much faster on today’s runs. Looks like a fropa and weak not exactly what the pope was calling for at all
  4. The most likely shifts will probably be in NNE within the 6” probs due to something more amped or weaker Sat nite l’ll be sipping some vodka in the jacuzzi at Stowe main lodge looking up at a mountain of white , milf in tow
  5. I would think We need to see that first band of precipitation that many models break out into CNE/NNE Thursday evening another 100-150 miles south. That would indicate the cold is more established in SNE , otherwise we’re pretty cooked outside Berks and we will be fighting between mild sector rain and 40 rain . Thus we need the streak to come back today to do that effectively it would seem. yes? Lol
  6. The amped solutions are a low 50’s rain for many along and south of LP track the flatter euro or flatter 6z nam are just a 38-42 Rain its early Novie, the cold ain’t here , elevations are certainly more in game
  7. Looks like we take a map of last years gradient woodford VT to N side lake Winni to Foothills of Maine and From there NW there will be greater than 2”. Nada 50 miles south of that line and 6”+ 25 miles north of it I am skeptical of model consensus 78 hours out here but we’ll see by Tuesday nite
  8. Nam amped just like 18z Comgrats Central Greens to Bretton Woods and North. Rain south nam did appear perhaps close to something colder / snowier as it had a further south low w a more classic track as well as a further north primary that went thru NE mass. If energy consolidated with southern low sooner that may look very different ?
  9. I don’t believe models have any clarity till maybe tommorrow evening (given where energy / shortwavew are) i would not anticipate accumulation over an inch even in Nashua at this point Killington to Wildcat is looking Good considering ML low tracks of stronger models at current times and areas south in N SNE are certainly still in game we just need more time (90 hours out is still a while ) w fast flow
  10. Cranky is gonna need to abandon his mild and bland November call and not blame “weather Twitter”
  11. Staying at Spruce Peak Sat nite for those who never stayed there...seriously look it up
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