STILL N OF PIKE
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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE
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Ya we are. The poster at 1K in W CT seems truly screwed with icing and i would say Greenfield Chris likely as well, looks like anyone near 1k in Western SNE is lights out
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sleet
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Euro?
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Looks like area just west of HFD AOA 500’ is in trouble
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Maybe we can warm what ever temps would be needed to ice in KBED or KASH
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Is your Generator ready JIC
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So basically ...if forecasts are based off only models that are under forecasting the cold press at the surface then we have a heck of an icing situation potentially in RI and CT that is under forecast
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Thank goodness for the high pressure This storm is such a pig as I take a closer look at things First low cuts west of Minneapolis , then the second low comes up from Gulf and cuts west of Detroit Lastly our triple points forms and looks to go from MVY to just east of Cape Ann. I like S VT and NW mass as locks for siggy ice
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Ya def could be a couple degrees colder as models adjust inside 36 hours ...I just wouldn’t bet on it . I would love Will’s input. and part 2 looks like crap for everyone outside Winchendon...and Far w. MA in SNE
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Part 2 looks like a disgusting 33-36 rain storm for New Year’s Eve day and in toward midnite SE of MHT- N ORH county
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Being a fan of frozen precip , I’m glad the below freezing layer is thick enough for sleet in the Merrimack valley bc I don’t see mesos keeping anyone south east of MHT below freezing Monday at surface this drain of cold temps would be on models by now for Monday day ..... 30F isotherm confined to N ORH county elevations and N of MHT into SW Maine
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Merrimack Mass to Amesbury could see significant snows
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Ya I agree to a degree with this I believe elevations will see the biggest icing (in SNE) outside of NW MA (greenfield )
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Maybe those that didn’t get in on a high end event are...in fact without that storm ...I probably would be hanging on by a thread after last year
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Looking more and more like a 33 Rainer in Tolland man can’t catch a break this year
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Really not impresssed with FRZR potential or Snow in eastern Areas of New England. Maybe a sliver of extreme NE mass and SE NH can cash in more snow but it looks like a sleet fest with primary FRZR threat in Western SNE N of CT
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The euro clown maps are an embarrassment. Worthless in this set up . They can't see all the layers and thus garbage It's like the product gains some sort of legitimacy because it has Euro attatched to it. Watching SPC Winter weather trends is something i find valuable. Currently they have 50% or less chance of 2" South of MHT thru 8pm Monday evening As far as ice goes SPC sees this as primarily N of PIKE and West of CT river (Berks/ S VT) have greater than 30% shot of 1/4 inch ice.
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isn't the vast majority of any QPF from Monday 6z to Tuesday 0z (i.e there isn't much to part 2 on most guidance) and isn't much QPF from the SLP kissing your behind?
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So part 1 is colder and part 2 is a Rainer on euro for most outside those up and in or ice for inland SNE on part 2 as well
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Hoping we advect in 33f air lol jk
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Now if things don’t turn around by Jan 15 and scooter is posting about a poo-poo pacific and some “chances ...especially inland “ and will hasn’t posted in a week ...then close them shades . It’s gonna get scary in here
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He was probably going to wax poetically about the great January 72’ clipper
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Look , our climo is such that we often punt 2-4 week periods at least every other year . We punted last Wednesday and we don’t know when we receive the ball back. Maybe Jan 10
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Do we have the one eyed pig looking at Parts of Southern Alaska next 2 Weeks they look like they see 15-20” QPF and up to 15-20’ of snow while snow maps for the lower 48 are very sad for this time of year
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That’s a very ugly and depressing weenie map. Haven’t checked weather in 3 days and based on that ....won’t be for another 3
