STILL N OF PIKE

What does this equal in sensible weather . Can’t it send the PV do Europe or is this a different phenomena or do we know how this will likely effect us

We got festive flurries in ASH

Can’t argue with what you posted. I know that further down the coast and into PVD surge over performed. I figured that meso low or whatever that feature was that was South of Falmouth then brushed Pym county coast did some hard to predict havoc into Maine .

I’m surprised she Didn’t have a direct line to DIT at times like that

I would say the winds and coastal flooding over performed

So what is intact is largely boiler plate everywhere , that is good to hit groomers first thing in am and then wait till the next am

I wonder what PF has to say lol

There is most certainly a pattern change to colder coming , but it doesn’t look particular conductive to warning events before that look appears to wane mid month . That is generally what I take from a “ensemble” blend of many forecasters . I would probably set my sights on a couple advisory events hopefully first half of January but that is just a literal guess , maybe others think that part is more unpredictable and something bigger may pop

A week ago , When i saw 7 straight days near International falls , Minnesota modeled 850 temps At or Above 0c 850 lol I said umm ya ok this is a special kind of Turd pattern there . I thought maybe confluence could help NNE elevations but that was even a longer shot as everyone alluded to

I’d buy some cologne and head over to the pickle ball courts , say you are a instructor

Enjoy man . I’d love to be there if it’s not snowing here . Water is prolly upper 70’s

Euro was prob best case for New England ski resorts . Approx 1/4 rain ..not much damage to operations at all

I personally am not buying it , that people understand it as much as they think they do , or to the point *that it can be applied , accurately to add much value* with so many factors simultaneously exerting influence . This sincerely isn’t meant as a dig to anyone.. I believe people want to believe they understand things more than they do so they can forecast longer out and it’s sort of cutting edge stuff to do that . I just am skeptical based in that , I think the more moving parts there are , whose weights can ebb and flow that it results in to many potential outcomes to be used and then correctly identified and weighted . But thus is just me trying to explain my skepticism .

Where did you go , N Jersey I recall you had a biggie you saw there

I nominate strat talk to be added to the fraud 5 . But that’s just my recollection of its fruitfulness

Get it a lil colder here ,Give Santa a sprained ankle. I like it.

Ya …until someone to your south gets double you When I first moved back here from Florida and found this board … I would have been happy with a 15” winter snowfall , I lived in Burlington Ma and I believe December into early January started off fairly strong (2009-2010 I believe ) and then I believe it sort of waned in second half .

Jerry was one of them , think he mentioned it at a GTG

Ya euro didn’t bite on Maine snow . Weaker look , more showery in nature and liquid

Adamant Snow fans need to just learn that some posts will be stating reality and when reality bites they may need the break at least as much.

Close call for eastern mass Friday nite as the coastal just grazes area . 50 miles NW and that is decent just inland

For N Maine yes . More of 29’th when S of pike cools It’s a longer duration event that is sort of revived at the end by more energy to our south

It’s sort of like Occams Razor ,usually correct but sticking strictly to that mentality will cause you to miss outlier events (but who has the time to research everything and with an unbiased point of view )

Looks like 12z gfs will be coming in weaker and south with primary over western lakes , maybe cooler look for Maine this run for 27-28’th

I didn’t realize the cascades were getting skunked as well . I know the skiable elevations don’t go up that high and usually 5k is buried . How high have snow levels been for Whistler and just South (In Wash) during the warmer AR’s