STILL N OF PIKE

Isn’t the ARW almost always over amped

12z reggie running has been a real southern outlier at 0z and 6z with WCB (doesn’t go out to CCB timing at this time frame )

Also Reggie was extremely far south and at 6z . Appears to be southern outlier (at least that I’ve seen) 12z running now

The 3k is nite and day different from what I see . ..snows into SNE decent amount Monday am and it may have been gearing up to lash E mass more after hour 60

Looks like dejavu for Maine If that capture can occur in that area looking at 5H that run it looked early on (Sunday am) that the upper support was a bit further east and thus was able to capture the surface low further west of 6z

CCB crushing monday looks similar to areas that hit C NH , Maine 2 weeks ago

Disgusting warm layer at 750 on that WCB push into CNE by 0z sunday eve , esp E VT C NH (Maine not so much )

I was thinking ( given recent trends) of a ride Monday toward the cog railway . That 6 mile road goes above 2K as you get to the backside of MWN . Believe parking lot is around 2300-2400’

Maybe WCB or bust

Slipping

I’m a little over my head but it looked like the upper level view of this system favored a low (further north) very close to the S coast the late east drift ..well once that gains steam its usually tough to bring back significantly . Capture S of Nova Scotia with a weenie band probably pinwheeling down thru parts of coastal Maine and maybe some of cape. I’ve seen euro ensembles swing all at once many times when the OP does shift even 50 miles , I wish the ensembles were able to account for a bit more differences in future Op run variance given what I’ve seen

Hour 66 low stalled /crawling just a hair From ACK NE /E mass in developing CCB changing over Slight strengthening hour 72 maybe a slight drift to over ACK . R/S line seems to have not moved much strengthens as its sinks about 50 miles SE of ACK gets EMa/Se mass w CCB

I was just about to ask !

Seems the latitude gain our system has had on 18z guidance when it’s along N Kentucky/ Ohio border after 6z Sunday is key for where the WCB snow / warm layer sets up 18z models have taken the Low NE to central Ohio and K PIT instead of 12z tracks which were more due east after 6z Sunday

Man gfs pounds CNE Sunday afternoon and evening w WCB otherwise wide right and weaker w CCB unless you live in East port Maine

I can already imagine how peaceful the monads will be Monday ....hoping it doesn't go much further north. Rollins state park or Miller state park both go to 2.5k on access roads and the walk up those would be so peaceful. In the event it goes further South i would probable try Weenie ridge wawa. If anyone has the time and can drive safely to a nice spot like that...i have not regretted one of those trips

In a weenies dream

eat.. drink and be snowyyyy for tomorrow we cough

definitely notable as it is warmed for initial WCB push for you and brings dryslot further north as a result late sunday nite. If crazy nammy goes 50 miles south at 0z ...we will have some fun clowns maps around your area

I would need a snow cat to get up and Over the kanc. nam drops a lot of QPF

This is a CNE crippler the nam looks cold enough for snow post 6z Monday for 495 corridor but just dry slots verbatim nam really cools after 3-6z for parts of mass

Nammy bout to rip a beastly WCB thru monads Sunday pm

i'm down for good fatty's

That drive from about 750’ in downtown Lincoln to the the climb up and above 2-2.8k would be worth the drive if this sits and dumps

Ukie suggest Kanc maybe where it’s at