STILL N OF PIKE

Your going to want to see models deepen this into upper 980’s or at least lower 990’s by 18z Sunday if you want good CCB and Banding , it’s certainly not a foregone conclusion at this point , esp out west We have seen some runs do thus particularly at noon time and evening and 0z runs not have nearly the CCB of earlier (except for Boston / Se mass ) . I think that is the biggest wildcard and it was back and forth with this idea for last 36 hours . 0z nam was sort of an anomaly as it had a quick violent burst for S SNE wee hours Sunday am and not much part two except S shore and cape

Good news for S of pike crew with 0z runs so far . Gfs was a little better version of nam as it got CCB back into about Pike I honestly just wanna see this thing develop decent mid levels and crank somewhere Sunday afternoon and not just slip out Sunday brunch after part 1 does who knows what

It seems like for the last couple years , most systems have been very complex with moving parts , phasing and or BL issues less 3-6/ 4-8 inch storms that sort of traverse a larger area in a steady form and can be more or less extrapolated E or NE to our area where temps are sitting in the 20’s

I salute you

Was fugly for all unless you wanna bet on a band in south central NH CCB didn’t get going on that at all GFS up next

I use pivotal for that one

Shortwave interaction less impressive , mid levels weaker on Reggie . Weak CCB . Still a good warning hit .

Reggie a little weaker strength wise

lol well for pure entertainment was my point bc they would be all over the place

I wish the nam had ensembles

Seems like the second short wave interacted late / minimally otherwise I think it would have been like the 12z Reggie . That is really key for anyone getting double digits

I don’t count them lol and I edited it right after I posted it

There was no part 2 except for SE mass , toss lol

1002 mb at 12z Sunday

Is the second short wave late , seems so on this run

How is trailing SW

Use imagination

He is in the stall tapping currently , pants appear down by ankles

I don’t trust this one either but I’m looking for some entertainment

Thanks to those who posted ensembles !

Anyone have individual member placement for 12z and 18z Sunday , pleaseeeee i basically memorized where 12z eps ensembles were scattered

I wonder what the nam pulls out of its rectum at 930

I think it really depends on the track , banding and those 925 temps vary depending on which model you look at for Wolfie

I asked Scott this am and he said it was off B.C coast and then the path it takes is pretty ..”fun” so I mean and we are hoping for models to realize how not only this tracks ..but it’s precise interaction with a lead short wave that is subject to small changes itself . It’s really kind of amazing what models can do if you stop and appreciate them . Can be plenty of changes into tomorrow pm thanks to that delicate interaction, I think the goal posts are wider than folks think , thou models have stabilized a bit Today but it wouldn’t shock me for a new trend to emerge in 12 hours in any direction

Let’s see Reggie take a big cut