STILL N OF PIKE

I’m certainly not buying a multi week very good pattern for mid Feb to Early March , I’d say sure it’s possible..but more likely to me Is a favorable 10-12 day period if things break semi decently . It’s often sunny in Philadelphia at Day 14+ and folks like to extrapolate that into their ideal multi week goodness, extremely skeptical of anything very good hanging around that long , gonna need a lot to fall in place for a prolonged period Based on climo CNE and NNE have best chance (obviously) (Dentrite North) but also as long as we are active there will be a shot that SNE gets to average with good timing (NW of 95) and doesn’t need a very good multi week pattern to do that Bos to me is a very long shot

WPC has this as a S of Rte2 system that favors most QPF SE mass and cape with a low 125 miles S of BM Monday @12z but E flow enhancing elevations S of rte 2 looks like tons of E flow into SE mass but not quite cold enough as probs for winter precip above .25 QPF is 10-30% for S SNE with Catskills , berks orh 30-50% probs for greater than .25 of winter QPF should update in few hours

Crushed Se mass buried

Well within the goalposts

What Mets are “debating “ this ? Besides the band Tool (enema) Turn it up

36 in Lexington , 33 in KBED still plain rain meh

The next couple days is when you really need to see where the poster lives to interpret if the run is good for your backyard , because it’s everyone for themselves (more than normal )

Do you think a 34-35 Rainer would break you at this point

Isn’t a slower phase usually less amped on end Is the S stream latitude capped by the earlier N stream phase ? On this setup

Heisy probably needs to clean off his laptop after that run

Ray has changed a bit . Let’s see what he says

Kuchie looks better for a change in SNE

Congrats pocanos

Tolland crusher ?

Hope so

Looks beautiful outside . 30 light snow KBED

Very narrow area of snow . I think this is still a low confidence deal for now @ D4.5

I’d take 2-4” and run if I can see a wintry day from this

Don’t see much in SNE except the stuff over SE CT and from PVD south back in east and central NY there is some stuff ahead of the change over line but otherwise it looks like 1/4” per hour maybe

Let’s see how cranky does

Friday looks good for Most Maine Snow mobile areas Maybe 2-3” at Wildcat but otherwise rains

Will this be “attenuating “

I think that is a very important point, when there is nothing imminent it’s a generally unhealthy idea for a winter weather lover to spend hours a day on this forum. More so ..if they are bothered and baited by warmistas, but even in general . Unless someone literally has no other hobby or outlet it seems very odd to just rehash medium to long range hope at periods that have proven to have little accuracy for periods that are longer than ..I dunno 60-90 minutes a day . I think it’s just so easy to fall into the trap of checking in on posts and getting pulled into the drama or the day by reaching into your pocket and logging in at least now we have a minor event later today / into Wednesday am and something that hopefully sticks around for Sunday (thou Sunday has a chance for being depressing as it looks like rain for I would say half the SNE forum as currently modeled .

The latest collective optimism from reading a few subforms is that Feb 10 on will rock (maybe hopefully probably ) I do not think anyone has a clue that correlates to good predictability going out to mid February relating to sensible weather (because it’s insanely complex) I see reason for some optimism but that is all I would say at this point , bc you can usually find that in most patterns and not that many end up producing well for SE SNE , higher probability more for general SNE (especially if active ) and especially CNE , I think most tend to produce pack for elevated NNE as long as they are active (regarding feb 10 to march 10 period )and that is just the Climo

No cold tuck of any consequence mentioned Wednesday day in box disco with any ice confined to Berks and Maybe N orh county (elevated)