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Matthew70

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Everything posted by Matthew70

  1. Matthew70
    In my opinion the GFS is not bi polar its schizophrenic. I have seen data showing that the GFS verification scores were not as good as the other models. That was before this latest update. Maybe I read them wrong but one run the GFS is like the other models then the next run it’s not. Yet the other models with their support have been steady for several runs now. Maybe you are right but word on street is the GFS is a disaster right now. Of course believing any model past 5 days is risky to say the least.
  2. Matthew70
    Question I have is why would they update or upgrade to another version that was worse? Why not fix the kinks before updating or upgrading?
  3. Matthew70
    I hope everyone has a wonderful & Happy Thanksgiving! Thank you for this great forum. To everyone that contributes I am very thankful & appreciate you all!
  4. Matthew70
    Thank you for the update.
  5. Matthew70
    Not sure if right thread but we know the MS river is very low & dry. Now we have the fire dangers starting. This is near Rockwood off I40 tonight.
  6. Matthew70
    Next weekend looks quite January ish temp wise. Then following week rain with highs in low 50’s here in mid state. Enjoy this next week. That’s the forecast now.
  7. Matthew70
    The wx temp wise has been perfect. Only thing wrong is only a little over half inch of rain since Sept. 1st here. That is trouble leading into the season of leaves falling. Add in the much lower humidity with cooler temps. From wet to dry just like shutting off a valve.
  8. Matthew70
    It’s getting extremely dry going into a season of leaves falling.
  9. Matthew70
    Unfortunately the worse flash flooding I have seen in this area in a long long long time. Trees down & many houses around us have water in their homes now. Update. Rain has stopped but recorded by neighbors close to 7” of rain. Cars were stalled in front of our neighborhood. Pools are overflowing & drains being pulled to help let out water. Crawl spaces flooded in lower part of our neighborhood. Snakes are being seen everywhere where flood waters have brought them in.
  10. Matthew70
    With the coming days & weeks. Heat strokes could be very possible. I’m not looking forward o working outside in this heat.
  11. Matthew70
    It’s either feast or famine with these pop up storms. It’s going to take a tropical system of at least a couple days of rain to help with the drought conditions in west TN & creeping eastward. The heat coming this week is going to dry the ground out very quickly. What a long miserable hot summer it has been so far. Memphis knocking down 100+ days quickly while here in mid state were knocking down mid 90’s quickly. Dog days of summer usually are in august. Seems this whole summer has been dog days.
  12. Matthew70
    It has been a show here with wind added in but no hail. Easily 2-3”. Has been lighting now for 5 hours constant.
  13. Matthew70
    LR is not to be trusted. It’s been wrong the majority of times. Plus even with cooler near seasonal temps. No rain is setting up crops to be a huge bust & fire dangers increasing. Just not a pretty picture if things don’t change very soon.
  14. Matthew70
    Looks like the heat is trying to be in this area for a few days this coming week. I will be at beach so hoping no rain & a clean blue ocean.
  15. Matthew70
    Here we have had a solid 2-3” in last week including yesterday. My yard is coming back nicely. I have been mowing it higher which made it thicker. So held up much better to the drought & heat so far.
  16. Matthew70
    Yep. Best my yard has ever looked. Choice between paying for water or gas. Gas wins. To think it’s only June. We have 3 months of this & everything will be brown & fall fire season could be really bad. Will be interesting if the grid can sustain in many parts of America. I saw where NES was asking many to conserve & keep their thermostats on 78. I also read where Australia is already having rolling blackouts. Which they are entering winter.
  17. Matthew70
    We had one here night before. Solid 1”-2”. Even some minor flash flooding. I hope we have some niche thunderstorms about every 3-4 days all summer. My yard is looking wonderful.
  18. Matthew70
    Ugh. My yard is finally looks best it ever has. Thick & very green. Hopefully it turns into a wet summer. Pleaseeeeee!
  19. Matthew70
    Glad I’m not going crazy thinking this has been a really windy period. My mom went to OR for first time a couple weeks ago. She said it was so pretty & so green. Locals said it’s like that all the time due to cooler & wet conditions. That nature loves it.
  20. Matthew70
    I read somewhere maybe here that it’s possible to continue to have these well into May. Which would keep severe wx season not as active for these parts but also make it feel like we went from winter straight to summer. Though I do love 60’s for highs. Hardly any insects & no skitters. Fescue just loves it with rain. My yard might be best I’ve ever seen it. For me anytime we can delay upper 80’s & 90’s till at least June I’m good. This has to be the most wind for a season that I ever remember. The last 2-3 months have been windy.
  21. Matthew70
    Here is Boro just some wind damage reports. I believe Jax is in Williamson which had a lot of wind damage reports also. The tornado warning went right over my house. Fortunately just insane winds. Most intense since moved here in 2005. The pic below has a video also. Still figuring out how to copy paste link. That vehicle is totaled after that lightning strike. Circuits & boards fried. https://twitter.com/RiskeChris/status/1514388956040867846?s=20&t=GsIQwKJ27GuN6t80O-EWgQ
  22. Matthew70
    Yes here in Boro was the same. Been awhile it seems with some good lighting. The flash flooding is also impressive.
  23. Matthew70
    Thinking more ARK & north.
  24. Matthew70
    Leconte has 6.5” today.
  25. Matthew70
    I’m ready for spring to stay. It’s been a cold soccer season so far.
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