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Everything posted by Matthew70
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’d feel more comfortable if the GFS was not alone. Though ensembles do favor the GFS. Euro is one I like to have saying yes instead of no.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Does he not think the MJO will rule the pattern?- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
It’s fun to actually feel like we’re tracking. This is within 10 days. Pretty incredible.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The storm Friday is close to producing some frozen precip also. As long as this keeps moving forward. No more can kicking. Pretty amazing that it’s seemed like winter for the last few weeks. Cloudy & cold. Highs in the 40’s lows in 20’s.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I definitely don’t see that happening but dreaming is fun. History does produce the unthinkable sometimes. We are due in this area forum wide for history to say it’s time.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
We get that much snow forum wide & those temps. Yep I will say thank you winter. Now where is spring because that would shut down most of the state for several days. Snow days would be used up quickly for the schools.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don’t expect those type of temps nor that much snow but history shows that extremes like this have happened here before. So anything is possible. Though if it’s going to be that cold. Then yes please snow that much to protect my new landscaping.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
If anything like the warmups so far that would be average highs.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Also if anything like last years. Landscaping killer.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully we get snow on ground before that kinda cold. Otherwise just dry & cold. I’ll take a hard pass.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Still great trends.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I did see an interesting quote from a top meteorologist out of the NE. He said “that the low placements 3 days out are usually on average 150 miles off of where they will usually end up”.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
What is the ole saying? Everything always snaps back the other way like a rubber band to equal it all out.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I am thinking the warm up is not the warm up that we are accustomed to. If there is really much of a warm up. I also remember strong -NAO being a trump card in the past. Maybe my mind is remembering incorrectly. Also is there still a PV split or partial? That could definitely play in our favor or against us. Maybe this time it plays in our favor. Positive side is the cold is in Canada & very nearby now. Marginal temps are being pushed south. We are going to get moisture even if it’s rain or frozen. That’s a change from the dry pattern.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Maybe false hope but I feel the MJO forecast are wrong or it will be overridden by other factors. -NAO. PV split. Only time will tell.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Continued prayers for you & your wife & family.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Honestly extreme is nice if don’t won’t any snow. I prefer the cold enough for snow. Plus I prefer to not have to replace my landscaping again this spring!!!!! lol!- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Even here in middle TN we are averaging normal to slightly below normal for the temps dept. I read this could be the first January in quite some time for this area to have a normal to below normal January. I think that’s pretty impressive for a supposed to be warm January.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Lots of different opinions on what really happens with this cold. A few say goes west. A few say suppression city for here. I will take the some moisture with freezing temps nearby.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Honestly I feel one day we will have that type of temps. again here. Like China is having now. If wx cycles are truly real.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Thanks for the suggestions. We plan to head out there in the spring. Her place will be our place of stay while we visit the area. We have never been to Yellowstone. Looking forward to it.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
My niece just moved to Billings MO! She’s a traveling Dr. occupational therapist- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Unfortunately, it appears it’s just gonna be low 40s with some cold rains. We need the rain, but I can do without the cold rain. Well in 10 weeks it’ll be mid March knocking on spring.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Thats a pretty good trio to have on our side.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Happy New Years to everyone! I hope it’s a wonderful year for ALL. I hope we all get a big snow before winter is over.- 1,263 replies
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