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MikeB_01

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Everything posted by MikeB_01

  1. MikeB_01
    It kinda looks like how we thought it was going to go. 1" so far with several hours of light fluffy snow to go. 3" will happen with this storm.
  2. MikeB_01
    i looked outside and i see snow already. Certainly more robust on radar than what was modeled by the HRRR
  3. MikeB_01
    HRRR shows that dry layer eroding away pretty rapidly. The good news is that it is a very thin layer of dry air.
  4. MikeB_01
    Euro in line as well. This is the 10:1 ratio. If you go with the expected ratios, looking more like 4.5" from this
  5. MikeB_01
    SREFs have been trending up over the last few runs. Not crazy, but up from 2.5 to 3.5 over the last 3 runs
  6. MikeB_01
    GFS is the same as well. 3-5
  7. MikeB_01
    "accumulations totaling 1"-18"" -- Jeff V snow forecast
  8. MikeB_01
    12z NAM looks to hold suit. 3-5
  9. MikeB_01
    This has certainly improved from yesterday...
  10. MikeB_01
    this is a great sign.
  11. MikeB_01
    NAM initialization looked bad. Not sure what it is doing
  12. MikeB_01
    In all honesty, I am thinking that the NWS is being conservative with the 2" call. The track of the storm looks good. Lets hope is gains a little more strength and maybe we squeeze a 4-6" surprise out of this. It is sad that I am hoping for a 4" storm, but that is where we are at...We will get there eventually
  13. MikeB_01
    one of the biggest problems with the NWS is lack of communication with other offices.
  14. MikeB_01
  15. MikeB_01
    .
  16. MikeB_01
    based on this chart, i think we would be happy with that QPF
  17. MikeB_01
    Coming down right now. Beautiful
  18. MikeB_01
    Yeah, I actually think the areas north and west will do better than south and east. Here in bethel park I have about .5” that’s it. .
  19. MikeB_01
    Yes. Snowing in Bethel Park. Already have a coating on cars and driveway. .
  20. MikeB_01
    If we get 2-3, id be happy with it. Not bad considering the weakness of this system
  21. MikeB_01
    honestly, not a bad position heading into tonight. I dont think anyone is getting 4" out of this, but the HRRR has been trending a little north and west. Also the SREFS have PIT at 2". I think we could see a situation where some in the northwest part of the area are around 1" and some in the southeast are 3"
  22. MikeB_01
    12z GEFS
  23. MikeB_01
    Its a good point. For reference the 00z EPS showed the main run at the very bottom of members. Lots of options showing more snow
  24. MikeB_01
    I like the positivity in here today
  25. MikeB_01
    thats is insane... 1994
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