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MikeB_01

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Everything posted by MikeB_01

  1. MikeB_01
    Agreed. There’s a lot of complicated pieces here that still need to evolve. The energy of the storm came in from the pac nw but now we need to see how it interacts with the southern jet. Lots of players still need to get closer to their positions for us to really figure out what is going to happen. .
  2. MikeB_01
    Good and bad news tonight. The good: The GFS actually started picking up on something. The bad: The Euro is a little weaker and undergoes an east coast transfer sooner that the 12z run. Still early but the models seem to be honing in. Hoping to see the westward trek at some point. Time for sleep...
  3. MikeB_01
    Absolutely. The 12z has more of a zonal look rather than the more amplified look we were seeing over the last few runs. Plenty of time for it to shift back.
  4. MikeB_01
    200 mile shift to the southeast on the 12z Euro
  5. MikeB_01
    Yes. Definitely not worried yet. Euro coming in now. Interesting to see if it shifts like the Ukie
  6. MikeB_01
    oooofff
  7. MikeB_01
    06z GEFS is pretty weak, but its there. Defitely nothing like what the other models are currently showing
  8. MikeB_01
    .
  9. MikeB_01
    No we did not have one, but as of yesterday kpit came out and officially announced the end of the growing season for Nov 1. Therefore ending their frost and freeze advisories until spring time. .
  10. MikeB_01
    Interesting that they would mention weakening after sunset. I mean that is how it usually goes, but instability was never really a factor yesterday anyway. It was all about the wind shear. I’m sure the sunset could have caused slight weakening, but the main fuel for those storms was the shear .
  11. MikeB_01
    I had no thunder, but it has been a little breezy. Also, cool to be in the bullseye of low pressure for the system. Bottomed out at 1003mb at my house. .
  12. MikeB_01
    The perfect weather day today to make us think fall! [emoji260] .
  13. MikeB_01
    .
  14. MikeB_01
    .
  15. MikeB_01
    2.85” in the rain gauge so far. This includes yesterday. .
  16. MikeB_01
    Just a few drops this morning here. Really hope to hear some thunder later.
  17. MikeB_01
    NWS forecast for Wed, thurs, fri, sat is 81, 84, 86, and 84. Get the AC ready. Summer is here. .
  18. MikeB_01
    Yea, I'll admit i was wrong on this one. I thought the radar started to fill in around 9:00. As quickly as it filled in, it went away. HRRR still shows redevelopment once the suns goes down. We shall see.
  19. MikeB_01
    Radar already starting to fill in again. I think this has been as advertised so far. This dry slot was showing up on the hres models yesterday, but I just think everything got started a few hours earlier than what was modeled. It started earlier, we dry slotted earlier, and looks like we are filling in earlier. .
  20. MikeB_01
    Yea saw that on the hi-res models earlier today, but definitely not this early. NWS was saying sometime between 12-2 am. I'm hoping this is a good sign?
  21. MikeB_01
    I am seeing some flakes too. This seems a little earlier than modeled. I wonder if this is an earlier arrival or a bigger precip field?
  22. MikeB_01
    My thoughts exactly. I hope the eastward hault that we saw with the 06z suit continues and even comes a little west. Might be able to get that 3-5 if that happens.
  23. MikeB_01
  24. MikeB_01
    Oh look... The Euro got even worse. Sleep well everyone. There will be storms for us to track. This one just isn't it.
  25. MikeB_01
    UKie is better than others, but still falling to the SE trend.
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