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Everything posted by the_other_guy
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The winter is over for NYC after this week. Dont need a chart or a model or an MJO number to tell you that. Look at the date, look at the weather over next 10 days and youre down to one off events in mid March. Given the warmth this winter, it is unlikely Game over
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that was the theory in the 2010s. I’m sure it holds today. You do see a tipping point though. whether we’re at that point now or not is another discussion. we have plenty of moisture just no cold air.
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The Warming affects the urban heat is more. I think that is what is lost here. I would like to see the park compared to a place like corona Queens. Based on my friends observations living in Manhattan, I think the parks measurements are on, or perhaps high
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for the people who declared winter over on January 20, now you could redeem yourselves by declaring it over save a one off mid March event.
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No. It is quite accurate give or take a couple of inches
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what is so embarrassing about it? They haven’t had more than that. There hasn’t been one day where I looked out at what they had, and said geez they measured to low. Maybe 8? Let’s cut the garbage here with CPK already. It is ridiculous. A bunch of 2 inch storms that melted as soon as it fell. That has been their season. The 7 reflects that
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Like -20. Not even close. 1/3 of normal
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
You need to be in striking range of normal to date right? -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Like an exciting season in Durham… -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
or it’s still 32° in Central Park and never got back to the 20s as forecasted. It will be interesting to see what the totals will be in central Park today versus the airports -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That’s fine. There seems to be a concerted effort here to make 38° sound like it’s a normal overnight temp in February and cold enough for snow. The snow is gonna have to start falling and the temperature is gonna have to cool down. And all that has to happen in an urban environment. And that will affect total accumulations. That’s all I’m saying. -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I never said it wasnt. I said temps would be marginal to start. And here is a newsflash for those reinventing the wheel: 38F at 10pm is a marginal for the start of a snow storm -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Called this situation this afternoon. Marginal temps in city -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It is 40 right now in CPK. I love your optimism, but it will take a while to cool down tonight in city -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think you’re asking the wrong question. I think the right question to ask is what is the probability of Central Park getting the lowest amount of snow in the region again? And I think that’s actually likely. Again, a marginal temperature situation in a marginal winter in an urban environment. If this keeps trending north, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Northern suburbs get more snow than central Park even though Central Park has more precip than the northern suburbs. And that’s what happened this past week. Most of us still have snow on the ground… The Central Park have any left? -
Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
the_other_guy replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
What is the HRRR say Overnight is key for the city with temps in the 30s -
Wow its windy out! Wasnt expecting that this morning.
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We don’t know that they do measure low. It is a narrative on this site. If it was really that bad at one of the Marquis weather sites in the country (because of location) it would be fixed. The fact that it isnt tells me it isnt as bad or off as many on this site claim it to be. More of a folklore with a little grain of truth gone wild.
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El Nino One and Done. Very common. This is the one for the season for the city. Enjoy it