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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. Too far out guys. Wait til Wed to start getting excited. Just going by my own unscientific observation: when this forum starts tracking 7 days out like its 2 days out, it never works out as planned.
  2. As somebody that grew up on the beach in Wading River, if there is one thing I hate, it is the East End in winter. Desolate, windy, snowless. It is truly awful in every way
  3. absolutely correct. and the radar. look at New Jersey filling in.
  4. I wouldnt bet against the HRRR. It pegged this band today
  5. that’s the best way to see where this is an actual snow storm at the moment. Like I said yesterday, this is an elevation storm.
  6. It’s not the cold you need to storm to move further west for tomorrow.
  7. That sums up Westchester at 11am with 300 feet of elevation and an icy type of snow moderately falling.
  8. NBC tells me is 38F in city If you guys get accumulating snow in the mid day hours from this, buy a lotto ticket
  9. I dont like the cutoff and I dont like that we keep moving that cutoff a few miles in each direction. This storm has lots of downside and not much upside for Riverhead west.
  10. absolutely. Im in one of those areas. But most people in this forum are getting zero accumulating snow. And then we read about bad models. No. Just wishcasting. First storm is an elevation storm. Second storm is in the same spot it has been for days. Offshore.
  11. This forum is talking itself into not one, but two accumulating events this weekend. Ill go out on a limb (and it isnt much of a limb) and say NYC will get exactly zero accumulating snow this weekend. The first storm will need elevation and cold. The second storm is the same grazer it has been for days.
  12. Then with temps in the 30s, the city wants an after dark storm
  13. Right now it’s a grazer. You need a little bit more than that going west.
  14. Well this week is out. I think we agree on that. Down to 12 days. I dont necessarily agree with the OP about no snowfall, but we are now into the second half of the game and we are down in the score
  15. Monthly Departures through the first 1/3 of the month (1/11)EWR: +3.5ISP: +2.8NYC: +2.3JFK: +2.2TTN: +1.5LGA: +1.0 Is it cold thus far? And what is coming in the last 10 days that is going to pull it down? Because this week…its not looking like its pulling down these positive departures by a hell of a lot
  16. You keep waiting on that cold. This is a warm January that no one on this board wanted to see. We are not waiting for a brief warm up to end. We are in a warm month waiting for a brief cool down. And that is a big difference in expectations
  17. Snow squall!! 44F 42F 41F almost comical to watch twmpp
  18. I think we do OK this season but it’s small ball. But yes, the season has totally changed its feel. As I said last week these extended warm-ups are winter killers.
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