the_other_guy

On the edge of what? What the heck are you talking about? Monster snowstorm headed right for you. Just enjoy it. I can’t even believe the stuff I’m reading in this forum. You have 0 chance of waking up with 4 inches of snow on Monday morning. This is supposed to be a scientific forum that looks at models and discusses them. you have 1 inch to one and a half inches of precipitation moving into an airmass that is pure arctic. Even if this forums wildest deranged fantasies come true of an all sleet fest you’re gonna have more than 4 inches crap on the ground when all is said and done. A lot more. Step back from the imaginary cliff edge you and an echo chamber walked yourselves onto over the past 72 hours.

I’m surprised nobody’s talking about how warm it is today. Much warmer than forecast.

Meanwhile trying to hold on to my snowcover at 45F

Too low. 8-14 would be a good early call

Dude thats legit. I never saw a forum like this. An Echo Chamber of wishcasting that never comes to be; and then theres a legit storm and the same people are talking themselves out of a storm. You, who are continually measuring snow in a rain storm have a legit major snowstorm inbound. Just enjoy it and stop second guessing it

28F thru storm in NYC. Much warmer than this storm. Much

Really? I havent found that. All of our great blizzards come to mind. Most recently 2016

I think TWC is okay with 12-18 for N and W at this point. I dont think that’s too much of a limb based on what we are seeing

Didnt we have a few this year?

correct the only way this storm truly busts is if it suppresses south. If not, something dramatically would have to change.

guys just to walk you off the cliff here, the high on Sunday somewhere between 19 and 23°. This is not your NYC run of the mill snowstorm where this is going to rain or you’re not gonna get accumulation. I think some of you are losing sight of that with this sleet potential. Whatever falls is going to stick and it’s gonna stick hard

Not in a mixing scenario. That happens all the time!

Valentines 2007

Nobody outside of the coastal plain is mixing with this storm. Lets get real guys.

I love how we went from worrying about suppression to mixing in 24 hours. Cant it ever be easy?

When you bring out the horse and buggy I know 287 is on!!

Take that and run and onto Feb. Especially after last fee winters

SANITY

two things to never depend on in New York City: A two part system Trailing edge snow If you’re looking for that, you’re in a bad spot.

Too far out guys. Wait til Wed to start getting excited. Just going by my own unscientific observation: when this forum starts tracking 7 days out like its 2 days out, it never works out as planned.

As somebody that grew up on the beach in Wading River, if there is one thing I hate, it is the East End in winter. Desolate, windy, snowless. It is truly awful in every way

absolutely correct. and the radar. look at New Jersey filling in.

Tale of two houses. Westchester top; Suffolk bottom

I wouldnt bet against the HRRR. It pegged this band today

sun angle…sorry had to