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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
    Take with the typical NAVY grain of salt, but noticeable this close to an event
  2. mikem81
    Thought the GEPS was interesting in terms of track
  3. mikem81
    Heavy now here down to 33
  4. mikem81
    Anyone have good link to Radar. Some are down..
  5. mikem81
    Its snowing here is SW Nassau. 34.7 degrees. was 36 an hour ago
  6. mikem81
  7. mikem81
    32/14 right now. No way dew points for supposed to be this low now… seems like temps should fall into high 20s with steady precip unless winds really turn off ocean quickly
  8. mikem81
    DP forecast is way off so far...
  9. mikem81
    The NAM is known for insane shifts like this. Really just can’t take it seriously until it has 2-3 runs in a row of something similar
  10. mikem81
  11. mikem81
    December is much more common for huge gradients on the city when the Atlantic is 55 degrees...
  12. mikem81
    THE GFS has a colder look early on but the primary made in father north before the weak coastal. All comes down to where coastal pops up (delmarva or LI)...
  13. mikem81
    Its very close....
  14. mikem81
    versus
  15. mikem81
    Thats looks like intense sleet for the metro....
  16. mikem81
    Usually a HP sliding east of Maine into the Atlantic is the sign of no snow. I see a HP in perfect position on all the models here and hints at earlier coastal development...
  17. mikem81
    A lot depends on how the storm tonight winds up into Canada and where it ends up bringing the confluence down into..
  18. mikem81
    How is LGA higher than JFK???
  19. mikem81
    Need the Tuesday storm to form a 50/50 low to create some sort of block and lock in the HP
  20. mikem81
    Pretty consistent ensemble support a week out. Need earlier coastal and weaker primary. EURO known to hold that primary into the lakes the longest at this range.
  21. mikem81
    I think water temp this time of year make SWFE better than if it were December. Ocean is at 40 instead of 55 so the SW wind is less of an issue but it can still get ugly at 850 and sleet...
  22. mikem81
    Starting new thread to track. For now EURO amped/ GFS middle/ CMS south
  23. mikem81
    Can we start a thread for next Friday to bifurcate discussions of wind, march in general versus a potential winter storm?
  24. mikem81
    Id work on generating more ocean effect snow with SE winds somehow....
  25. mikem81
    When its 90 in June in CP and 70's on the Island its amazing. The city is awful on summer days
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