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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
    Typically SWFE tend to amp up as they get closer. We actually fear this as it means mix to rain for our area and snow for New England. This is a rare event where we are hoping for the historic trend to occur and amp this just enough to get some good precipitation into our area with little fear precipitation type issues
  2. mikem81
    I dont think there will be more clarity on this until tomorrow afternoon when the energy is closer to the NW coast and the LP block starts to form in a certain spot in SE canada
  3. mikem81
    The NAM is not happening. Maybe SE MASS gets 3-6 inches. Maybe. Radar does not support the NAM at all.
  4. mikem81
    Did any of the models have the intense precip coming onshore now in SNJ?
  5. mikem81
    https://weather.cod.edu/ My favorite auto refresh radar site is down. Anyone with other good ones?
  6. mikem81
    NAM slightly north. Looks like .3-.4 of precip by 12Z tomorrow from SW to NE in NYC metro
  7. mikem81
    In that case look at the current radar. The northern bands are much further east of the southern part of the storm... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  8. mikem81
    It snows much longer up in the NYC area (at least on the models) based on the configuration of the precip shield..
  9. mikem81
  10. mikem81
    Similar amounts here in Garden City. Should finish between 6 and 7 depending on this last band.
  11. mikem81
    Someone in Suffolk may get a foot. will be much closer to 6 inches in Nassau
  12. mikem81
    Its my go to radar.. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0Q-1-12-100-usa-rad
  13. mikem81
    These are the good returns. Seems like another hour of heavy stuff east of NYC and 2-3 hours Suffolk east
  14. mikem81
    I think the 6-8 for area from Queens and East is a good call with some locally higher measurers from the typical suspects..
  15. mikem81
    Yes. I had 1.5 inches at 815 and almost up to 4 inches now
  16. mikem81
    This is the key. If this can pivot a bit instead of racing east, NYC/LI and C-NNJ can get a few more hours of SN+
  17. mikem81
    Moderate snow here in south garden city. Sticking already. 32.4 degrees
  18. mikem81
    Down to 998. Keep an eye on strength and location. SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis (noaa.gov)
  19. mikem81
  20. mikem81
  21. mikem81
    999 SLP
  22. mikem81
    Here is the LP. Keep an eye to see if it drops to 995 or below in next few hours...
  23. mikem81
    I wouldnt call the EURO 979 LP "weak" by any standards...
  24. mikem81
    Pretty decent agreement. SLP will track over the delmarva. The question remains whether it gets tucked a bit and strengthens by Cape May (NAM/GFS/RGEM) or goes due east (EURO/UKIE)
  25. mikem81
    Yes. NO one has sad this. Start time is approx midnight for light rain transitioning to Snow by 4-5am... Sunrise is close to 7AM.
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