
mikem81
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Everything posted by mikem81
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I live on Long Island but the Boston statement is a bit misleading. BOS is Logan which is basically in the ocean. All immediate suburbs did quite well. Cutofff was just insane within a 10 mile radius....
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back to moderate snow here in garden city
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Radar filling up now SE of the metro....
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really very little sleet here in Western Nassau. Smaller flakes with little sleet since the mega bands pushed north and west. Radar trying to redevelop some bands to the SE from coastal...
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Will radar fill in from the ocean as LP pivots???
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MEga band approaching western Li/NYC
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The HRRR graphics may be showing sleet but soundings show mostly snow profiles..
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Or its Sleet.... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad
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Current LP (slightly east of RGEM guidance)
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Blizzard conditions here in western Nassau.....Looks like 2 inch an hour rates....
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COASTAL IN JUST GETTING GOING.... (ALSO IN A GOOD SPOT SO FAR)
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How did it compare to 12Z. More interested in trend at this point....
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DP still only 10 here in western Nassau County. Temp at 24.4 Really Cold and Dry. Still skeptical of any changeover....
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Just posted the warmest panels at midnight tomorrow night... Basically .1-.2 of drizzle is only precip "lost" on Long Island
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Great illustration. Any model that has mid-levels going above 0 C happens after 7pm Monday so we are talking about 2-3 inches of wasted precip at most in NYC/LI (eastern LI obviously might be diffferent)
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Bottom line so far. Looks like heavist precip axis will be from NYC west but blizzard conditions and wind in the NYC and western LI area will make the snow hard to measure anyway so we can all just measure the drifts and get the same amounts.
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I think the "flip to rain" is just a matter of where the dry slot shows up/. At that point between 1 and 1.5 QPF is already fallen and we are talking about 2-3 inches of "wasted" snow
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Its basically 3-6 hours of drizzle during a dry slot. Its really not steady rain at all verbatim....
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