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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
    I see maybe 2 rain storms on this map
  2. mikem81
    18Z RGEM looking better than 12Z
  3. mikem81
  4. mikem81
    RGEM improved 12Z
  5. mikem81
    Struggling big time with LP placement....It really in the delmarva area not all the way down where it shows...
  6. mikem81
    The NAM has clear LP placement issues...
  7. mikem81
    RGEM looks well west through 48
  8. mikem81
    GFS and CMS SE of last runs...
  9. mikem81
    Not sure what he is looking it... seems that OTS is more of a concern
  10. mikem81
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/
  11. mikem81
    Not sure hw relevant, but the RAP just moved about 100 miles north at 21Z
  12. mikem81
    The 1 inch of Liquid Precip is literally 40-50 miles south of NYC... Even without model movement, these storms usually end up being naturally 20-25 miles NW Of final models..
  13. mikem81
    Thats the sleet/mix line
  14. mikem81
    Heavy Snow. Down to 34 degrees here.
  15. mikem81
    Just turned to heavy snow here.. 35.4 degrees. Garden City
  16. mikem81
    You are not missing much. Heavier returns lead to some mixed precip with flakes. Not sticking at all....
  17. mikem81
    Just flipped to mix of Snow and Rain here in Garden City. Temps down another 2 degrees to 36.
  18. mikem81
    Whit Rain here in nassau. Temp dropped from 40 to 38 in last 5 minutes though...
  19. mikem81
    The upper air (850 and 925 temps) are the same or slightly colder in the NYC area than down in Phily (where it is snow) so well see what the BL temps do once the precip starts. Temps will need to cool 3-5 degrees
  20. mikem81
    Some radar backbuilding trying to occur now...
  21. mikem81
    Upper levels are cooling so next round should be all snow even for LI
  22. mikem81
    Radar looks like some decent bands in Southern and Central Jersey may make it up to the metro area after a brief lull
  23. mikem81
    Agreed. just pointing out what the latest NAM showed, but the radar looks good
  24. mikem81
    .01
  25. mikem81
    12Z has nothing
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