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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
    I have some advice for everyone/. If there is a big storm coming and you really dont want to miss up/. Do it Jim Cantorii style. Go to the storm. I went to Monticello Sunday night with the family and we saw about 11-12 inches. drove back to LI last night. No snow to shovel... obviously an expensive hobby, but worth it 1-2 times a winter
  2. mikem81
    How do you get it an hour early...
  3. mikem81
    Nothing is dead 96 hours out....this coming from someone who wont even be in town this weekend...
  4. mikem81
  5. mikem81
    18z Navgem for the win!!! We are desperate
  6. mikem81
    Quick Poll: If I am taking my kids somewhere on Sunday Night/Monday to see good snows; what is best within 100 miles of NYC?
  7. mikem81
    I hope you are correct as some of these models show very little snow anywhere close to the area... At least in prior years I was able to take my kids to Rockland to enjoy the storms.
  8. mikem81
    Interesting especially since these tend to amp NW, but basically useless at this stage..
  9. mikem81
    These are all over the place...
  10. mikem81
    THe entire h5 would need to shift 100 miles southeast to avoid sleet at this point.
  11. mikem81
    A few observations from 12Z EURO: 1. Forget the surface map (it is pretty ugly) 2. Big improvement at 850 and 500 MB 3. Look at 500MB difference position between 0Z and 12Z (looks about 100 miles SE of 0Z) 0Z 12Z 850MB LP (same SE movement 0Z 12Z
  12. mikem81
    Tomorrow's storm failing us in this respect...
  13. mikem81
    The GEFS went west but still better than OP
  14. mikem81
    Also I would think if it slows down anymore the vort coming in from Canada kicks it east..
  15. mikem81
    Thats why I wanted to know. Still need another 50-100 miles SE..
  16. mikem81
    What did this show at 12Z?
  17. mikem81
    Notice how it got rid of the few LP's in the Ohio Valley from 12Z to 18Z
  18. mikem81
    12Z versus 18Z 12Z
  19. mikem81
    Correct; 10:1 maps are garbage.
  20. mikem81
    Yes we did extremely well in NYC area bu that storm came in off the ocean and then turned NW once it was north of LI (sort of cut through CT) very bizarre and rare..
  21. mikem81
    Can someone explain what causes the LP to jump in an almost NW direction from the NC coast? Ive literally never seen that track when the LP starts out so far south. Does the northern stream phase too early and pull the LP inland?
  22. mikem81
    Look at the 18Z icon. Same setup. LP goes almost due North from NC coast into upstate NY
  23. mikem81
    JMA looks good (for what its worth)
  24. mikem81
    Weve got the JMA and NAVY model on our side...
  25. mikem81
    Hopefully this is the most west weve seen the models swing. I mean they went from OTS to inland runner in 1 day so clearly the uncertainty here is huge.
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