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mikem81

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Everything posted by mikem81

  1. mikem81
    Wow thats a great look and much sooner than we thought....seems like by next weekend...I am always cautious of rushing pattern changes though so lets see how quickly the PNA return to positive.
  2. mikem81
    For now, seems like we should all go to Miami for 2 weeks
  3. mikem81
    Good look for Feb 28-March 14. Will believe it when I see it
  4. mikem81
    Its not outstanding when 90 percent of snow fell in one day.
  5. mikem81
    Hrrr seems to show potential for another 2-3 inches across long island through 7pm if bands dont die out
  6. mikem81
    NAM seems to not have this second round precip while HRRR does.. seems HRR doing much better job so far..
  7. mikem81
    Maps??
  8. mikem81
    NAM may be on drugs but it looks like a light event and close to something more if the coastal had slightly more time to move north before being kicked east...
  9. mikem81
    Look huge to me..
  10. mikem81
    Versus 0Z
  11. mikem81
    These are snapshots in time. Can you post the 5 day 850 temp anomaly?
  12. mikem81
    Even the GFS (verbatim) shows very little precip after the rain tonight... Nothing to track other than next weeks ocean storm for now which needs some big time improvements...otherwise seasonal and dry.
  13. mikem81
    Some hints of a coastal grazzer next tueaday
  14. mikem81
  15. mikem81
    Its at freezing at 12Z Friday and gets colder from there...
  16. mikem81
    All the models have 2-3 "wide right" coastals next week. Hopefully one can work out... Looks like all ensembles agree on cold for next 2 weeks (especially week 2)
  17. mikem81
    Temps hit freezing in NYC proper by 12Z Friday on EURO
  18. mikem81
    EURO trended slightly flatter and cooler. Stronger HP in good position
  19. mikem81
    The NAM has wild swings after HR 48 (as we saw big time last weekend). Wouldn't look at it until tomorrow 12Z plus its always overamped after hour 60. Stick to EURO/CMC/GFS blend and look at trends today
  20. mikem81
    Best chance for NYC snow might be for 2 separate waves. wave one amped and bring down cold air before wave 2 for snow.
  21. mikem81
    Will be interesting to see the ultimate strength and orientation of the HP. I remember a late season storm around 10 years ago that was supposed to crush the area that ended up so far south that DC saw all the snow and we got no precip at all. Can see this going either extreme at this point (HP comes in too late and west and we rain followed by dry cold or HP comes in stronger and in eastern Canada and we snow)
  22. mikem81
    HRRR and RAP both have .3-.4 precip for the area
  23. mikem81
    For tomorrow?
  24. mikem81
    How was 18Z EURO?
  25. mikem81
    10: 1 ?? Use Kuchera..(actually look better..)
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