mikem81
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About mikem81
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
JFK
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Location:
Hempstead, NY
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Has anyone been tracking the EURO AI performance versus the regular model?
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Love your posts since you add insight and reasoning. Can you elaborate on the above? I think the -EPO will be fighting the SE and western Atlantic Ridge in this setup
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Northern stream has looked pretty different so far on the NAM, ICON and RGEM. It seems to drop down much more to the west and allows the southern stream to get some energy slightly out ahead before crushing it OTS
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About 100 mile movement in a better direction 96 hours out
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NAVY and JMA with significant moves NW with much more interaction
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- 993 replies
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- metsfan vs snowman
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Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Not getting a 150 mile shift in the next 12 hours -
Agreed. A primary dying out over WV almost always meant coastal redeveloped in ideal spot for us...maybe next weekend Miller A will be better
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Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I am not following anyone who think this is a storm for our area. I don’t even see any short term models disagreeing with the globals unless it’s over a half inch or zero. I really hope I am wrong but no model shows snow in Chicago today and nothing showing snow in NYC tomorrow other than virga right now. Hope the models are wrong but we should focus on next weekend -
Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
fwiw sREF about 25-30 miles north at 21Z from 15Z -
Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Well see if NAM follows suit. NYC area needs a 50 mile shift at the 18Z and 0Z models to just stay in the game for the last minute north bumps tomorrow and sunday as inside 48 hours anything will be 25 miles or less -
Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
If someone can show the timing and location of the confluence we should be watching for in terms of trends that would be great. Some analysis -
Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think we are looking at the piece of energy near Montreal. Notice the difference between the GFS and Euro with the strength and location which shreds or doesnt -
Snowfall NYC subforum Jan 6 and OBS if needed
mikem81 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Can you post it on the H5 map?