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TullyHeel

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Everything posted by TullyHeel

  1. Very similar to the GFS with the heaviest area of accumulations.
  2. Funny, folks seem to be down on the GFS, but Greg Fishel said he likes it better than the Euro lately.
  3. I feel I can get 3 to 5 here easily. Start off as sleet and then change over to snow.
  4. NAM starts out as sleet here but looks to turn to snow with the 850s crashing fast.
  5. Former WRAL met Greg Fishel said yesterday he preferred the GFS lately over the Euro.
  6. UK Met was awesome. Euro op was concerning last night but the ensembles were okay. GFS was okay. Looks like we'll have a winter storm here, just a matter of how much snow or ice. Would love to see two roubds and have storms Thursday through Sunday. That could help totals. Let's see what the current Euro says.
  7. And here we go with the back and forth dance. Glad to see the GFS have a better run.
  8. Only about 14 or 15 good hits here compared to over half the last run.
  9. Looks like these days we need the system to be in Cuba 7 days out to have a real chance at all snow here. Just getting it to the Gulf doesn't work anymore with how things start trending NW around 5 days out.
  10. Different kind of system but same result. It feels like the warm nose here gets worse and worse every year lately and really cuts down our snow totals, even when we have surface temps in the 20s.
  11. What's the saying? Deja vu all over again with this weekend's storm.
  12. I wonder if Fishel will change his tune about the Euro. Models are all over the place. I just hope we are not seeing a repeat of Izzy. Even though it's a different setup, it would be crushing to have the same result with the mid levels turning our snow to ice. Right now with no model consistency it's still anyone's ballgame.
  13. I would take this all day. Looks like over half the members have a big storm here.
  14. What would be unfortunate is to have surface temps in the 20s again and have the midlevels ruin things again. That's what the Euro is showing and it's what happened with yesterday's storm.
  15. Doesn't seem to matter how the storm evolves, we're seeing the same thing happen on the models with this storm as we saw with the one we just had. Gone from a big snow storm 7 days out to a mess of snow and ice.
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