TullyHeel

They play down pretty much everything unless it's 100% certainty 24 hours out something is going to happen.

He did a great job with the past storm here.

Still have time for it to be an inch or so. Better than nothing at all.

Could this be one of the rare times we make an epic comeback?

Maybe if the NW trend on the NAM, Euro and GFS is correct I might get to seem some snow fall at least.

Maybe one day the models can be wrong again like they were in January 2000 and 12 hours out we'll find out the precip is going to be much farther north and everyone gets a big storm.

Probably have a better chance at getting a hurricane now than snow.

Well, this is different.

Um, what?

What exactly is wrong?

I thought the extreme cold was the reason it would be so suppressed, too. So why is it still being so suppressed if we aren't even going to get the extreme cold?

It's always pointless without snow.

Can't help but to laugh at this point.

Actually, the Euro made a big NW jump on the midnight Saturday run and looked like the GFS and Canadian then. That's when everyone, even local TV mets here, were talking about the NW trend. But then the other models started coming in more suppressed and the Euro followed. I think it just faked us out.

I guess it's a little like sports. Sometimes your team has a big lead and blows it, and sometimes they make an epic comeback and win at the buzzer, and sometimes they dominate from start to finish. Well, rarely do the models show a good storm 7 to 10 days out and it happens, so they rarely dominate. Most of the time it's the other two scenarios, with having a big lead and blowing it at the end happening more often than making an epic comeback.

It's really useless to trust anything with the models beyond 3 days. And if that's the case what is the point of looking at the long range models and discussing things on a forum like this? It's like daydreaming about what you would do if you won the lottery.

Do.you want a cookie?

It went from a monster storm for all of NC to hardly anything for NC in less than 24 hours and only 72 hours out.

Once again the models fooled us. Really thought this was going to be a big storm here with what all the models were showing a couple days ago besides the Euro. Then the Euro came on board last night and I thought that was the final piece to the puzzle. This morning the local mets were talking about the NW trend after the Euro made the NW jump. But then after the Euro joined the other models, they started going further and further south, and the Euro followed. Less than 24 hours and what looked like a big storm for a lot of folks went to just a storm for those right on the beach, and this within 72 hours of when the storm is supposed to be here. This is a kick in the guts after 3 years of not having any real snow. Maybe a decent storm will come along this winter. But I am feeling more and more like being on here and following the models is just a waste of time. It really doesn't matter because it's not like it affects what happens. Whatever happens is going to happen, and maybe it's better to just let it happen and not try to see what's going to happen with the models and everything days and weeks before. It's always better to.be surprised anyway than to be hopeful for a storm because it looks good on the models only for it to fall apart.

Crazy how hard it is to get a decent snow storm here now. Even with all this cold we still can't get one. What a waste of cold.

Something looks wonky with the NAM totals. Seems it would be more in central NC based on where the snow was showing.

Someone get the NAM and energy drink. It is taking forever.

NAM is running now.